WNBA · Sep 9 gameAll props Full sheet

Washington Mystics at New York Liberty

FinalWAS 66 – NYL 75Page updated 04:07 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Washington Mystics

Kiki Iriafen · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 6 actual

Shakira Austin · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 13 actual

Sonia Citron · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 13 actual

New York Liberty

Breanna Stewart · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 8 actual

Jonquel Jones · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 11 actual

Leonie Fiebich · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 3 actual

Sabrina Ionescu · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYL expected to win by about 14.5 · both teams together expected to score about 157.5 points · odds to win: WAS 9.35, NYL 1.08

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 22:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 04:07 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

WAS had 42 days off before this game · NYL had 33 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 33 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Sabrina Ionescu · points 17.5 → 6 · 11.5 below the line · played 26.6 min · no final price

Leonie Fiebich · points 8.5 → 3 · 5.5 below the line · played 23.5 min · no final price

Jonquel Jones · rebounds 7.5 → 11 · 3.5 above the line · played 28.8 min · no final price

Breanna Stewart · rebounds 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 27 min · no final price

Kiki Iriafen · rebounds 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 30 min · no final price

Shakira Austin · points 11.5 → 13 · 1.5 above the line · played 27.7 min · no final price

Sonia Citron · points 13.5 → 13 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NYL vs WAS · last 20 games · NYL leads · NYL record 16–4 · average score 84.7–77.5 · NYL has won by 7.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

19 Jun · WAS 86 at NYL 83NYL lost

14 Jun · WAS 64 at NYL 86NYL won

What each defense gives up per game

WAS gives up83.2 points · 30.0 rebounds · 19.8 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.1% of shots · 32.9% from three-point range · 11.9 opponent turnovers

NYL gives up86.5 points · 31.4 rebounds · 21.3 assists · 9.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.6% of shots · 34.6% from three-point range · 10.8 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

WAS gives up 83.2 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.0−3.9 vs average

NYL gives up 86.5 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 165 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 269 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 274 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 274 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 274 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 306 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 351 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 363 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 382 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 403 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 409 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 125 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 508 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 530 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 252 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 352 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 355 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 356 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 359 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 412 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 429 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 433 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 436 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 437 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 451 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 487 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 510 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 516 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 518 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 529 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 533 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 540 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 544 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.