WNBA · Sep 10 gameAll props Full sheet

Atlanta Dream at Connecticut Sun

FinalATL 88 – CON 72Page updated 03:53 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Atlanta Dream

Allisha Gray · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 13 actual

Brionna Jones · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 13 actual

Jordin Canada · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 4 actual

Naz Hillmon · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 4 actual

Rhyne Howard · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Connecticut Sun

Saniya Rivers · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 16 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

ATL expected to win by about 12.5 · both teams together expected to score about 158 points · odds to win: ATL 1.13, CON 6.69

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 22:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 03:53 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

ATL had 11 days off before this game · CON had 48 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 34 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Naz Hillmon · rebounds 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 27.1 min · no final price

Saniya Rivers · points 11.5 → 16 · 4.5 above the line · played 36.1 min · no final price

Jordin Canada · assists 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 8.9 min · no final price

Rhyne Howard · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.4 min · no final price

Allisha Gray · points 14.5 → 13 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Brionna Jones · points 12.5 → 13 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CON vs ATL · last 19 games · ATL leads · CON record 9–10 · average score 76.8–80.9 · CON has lost by 4.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

17 Sep · CON 59 at ATL 103CON lost

13 Aug · ATL 104 at CON 69CON lost

2 Jun · CON 75 at ATL 91CON lost

10 Sep · ATL 88 at CON 72CON lost

8 Sep · CON 62 at ATL 87CON lost

1 Sep · ATL 93 at CON 76CON lost

What each defense gives up per game

ATL gives up82.7 points · 32.1 rebounds · 18.4 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 45.5% of shots · 34.1% from three-point range · 15.2 opponent turnovers

CON gives up87.7 points · 33.9 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.3% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

ATL gives up 82.7 points a game · 2nd of 15 · league average 87.0−4.3 vs average

CON gives up 87.7 points a game · 9th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had ATL expected to win by 12.5, expected total 158 (Wed 22:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 22:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 16 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 21 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 27 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 39 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 45 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 55 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 56 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 65 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 67 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 14 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 83 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 84 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 67 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 68 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 89 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 90 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 207 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 226 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 248 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 249 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 290 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 694 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 647 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.