WNBA · Sep 14 gameAll props Full sheet

Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces

FinalSEA 77 – LVA 102Page updated 01:35 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Seattle Storm

Dominique Malonga · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 11 actual

Ezi Magbegor · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

points 24.5 → 29 actual

Chelsea Gray · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 7 actual

Jewell Loyd · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 14 actual

NaLyssa Smith · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 9 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 6 · both teams together expected to score about 162 points · odds to win: SEA 3.11, LVA 1.40

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 01:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 01:35 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

SEA had 49 days off before this game · LVA had 33 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 81 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Dominique Malonga · rebounds 5.5 → 11 · 5.5 above the line · played 23.7 min · no final price

NaLyssa Smith · rebounds 4.5 → 9 · 4.5 above the line · played 25.4 min · no final price

Jewell Loyd · points 9.5 → 14 · 4.5 above the line · played 25.7 min · no final price

Ezi Magbegor · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 24.4 min · no final price

Jackie Young · assists 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 27.9 min · no final price

A'ja Wilson · points 24.5 → 29 · 4.5 above the line · played 30.3 min · no final price

Chelsea Gray · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LVA vs SEA · last 28 games · LVA leads · LVA record 22–6 · average score 89.0–79.8 · LVA has won by 9.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

20 Sep · SEA 77 at LVA 98LVA won

17 Sep · LVA 114 at SEA 77LVA won

8 Jun · SEA 91 at LVA 101LVA won

What each defense gives up per game

SEA gives up88.9 points · 36.3 rebounds · 21.1 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.0% of shots · 32.7% from three-point range · 12.8 opponent turnovers

LVA gives up85.8 points · 34.0 rebounds · 18.6 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.2% of shots · 34.5% from three-point range · 13.0 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

SEA gives up 88.9 points a game · 10th of 15 · league average 87.0+1.9 vs average

LVA gives up 85.8 points a game · 6th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 54

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 74 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds games/date (2025-09-13)ok 200 · 78 ms

sds games/date (2025-09-12)ok 200 · 79 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 105 ms

sds games/date (2025-09-11)ok 200 · 119 ms

sds games/date (2025-09-10)ok 200 · 119 ms

sds games/date (2025-09-09)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds games/date (2025-09-08)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds games/date (2025-09-07)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds games/date (2025-09-06)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds games/date (2025-09-05)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds games/date (2025-09-04)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds games/date (2025-09-03)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds games/date (2025-09-02)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds games/date (2025-09-01)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds games/date (2025-08-31)ok 200 · 134 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 146 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 206 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 270 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 277 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 282 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 39 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 40 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 43 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 42 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 327 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 47 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 361 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 89 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 132 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 144 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 147 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 147 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 148 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 149 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 167 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 186 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.