WNBA · May 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Valkyries at Seattle Storm

FinalGSV 91 – SEA 80Page updated 11:37 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Valkyries

Gabby Williams · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 7 actual

Janelle Salaun · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 20 actual

Kayla Thornton · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 13 actual

Tiffany Hayes · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 1 actual

Veronica Burton · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 16 actual

Seattle Storm

Dominique Malonga · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 8 actual

Flau'jae Johnson · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 12 actual

Natisha Hiedeman · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 6 actual

Stefanie Dolson · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSV expected to win by about 5.5 · both teams together expected to score about 156.5 points · odds to win: GSV 1.42, SEA 2.99

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 01:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:37 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

SEA had 9 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 106 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Janelle Salaun · points 10.5 → 20 · 9.5 above the line · played 27.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.80

Tiffany Hayes · points 10.5 → 1 · 9.5 below the line · played 4.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.79

Natisha Hiedeman · points 13.5 → 6 · 7.5 below the line · played 22.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.79, Under —

Gabby Williams · points 11.5 → 7 · 4.5 below the line · played 24 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.75, Under —

Veronica Burton · points 11.5 → 16 · 4.5 above the line · played 30.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.96, Under —

Stefanie Dolson · points 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 27 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.82

Flau'jae Johnson · points 10.5 → 12 · 1.5 above the line · played 25.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.75, Under —

Dominique Malonga · rebounds 8.5 → 8 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.00, Under —

Kayla Thornton · points 13.5 → 13 · 0.5 below the line · played 30 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.87

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SEA vs GSV · last 7 games · GSV leads · SEA record 2–5 · average score 68.1–75.4 · SEA has lost by 7.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

19 Sep · SEA 57 at GSV 70SEA lost

12 Jun · GSV 76 at SEA 72SEA lost

8 May · GSV 91 at SEA 80SEA lost

9 Sep · GSV 73 at SEA 74SEA won

What each defense gives up per game

GSV gives up75.9 points · 32.5 rebounds · 18.3 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 41.7% of shots · 33.0% from three-point range · 13.6 opponent turnovers

SEA gives up88.9 points · 36.3 rebounds · 21.1 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.0% of shots · 32.7% from three-point range · 12.8 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

GSV gives up 75.9 points a game · 1st of 15 · league average 87.2−11.2 vs average

SEA gives up 88.9 points a game · 10th of 15 · league average 87.2+1.8 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSV expected to win by 5.5, expected total 156.5 (Sat 01:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 01:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 26 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 27 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 30 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 44 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 117 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 120 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 124 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 156 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 157 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 128 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 243 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 485 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1023 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1363 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1495 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1397 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1408 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1585 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1942 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1949 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1952 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.