WNBA · May 9 gameAll props Full sheet

Atlanta Dream at Minnesota Lynx

FinalATL 91 – MIN 90Page updated 11:37 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Atlanta Dream

Allisha Gray · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 24 actual

Angel Reese · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 11 actual

Jordin Canada · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 12 actual

Naz Hillmon · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 15 actual

Rhyne Howard · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 15 actual

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 14 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 18 actual

Natasha Howard · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 6 actual

Nia Coffey · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 5 actual

Olivia Miles · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 21 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

ATL expected to win by about 5.5 · both teams together expected to score about 159.5 points · odds to win: ATL 1.46, MIN 2.82

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:37 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 146 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 1 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Naz Hillmon · points 7.5 → 15 · 7.5 above the line · played 33.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Olivia Miles · points 11.5 → 21 · 9.5 above the line · played 33.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.67, Under —

Natasha Howard · points 12.5 → 6 · 6.5 below the line · played 19.6 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.79

Allisha Gray · points 16.5 → 24 · 7.5 above the line · played 32.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.68, Under —

Nia Coffey · points 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 31.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.94

Angel Reese · points 13.5 → 11 · 2.5 below the line · played 32.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.85, Under —

Kayla McBride · points 15.5 → 18 · 2.5 above the line · played 32.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.70, Under —

Jordin Canada · points 10.5 → 12 · 1.5 above the line · played 26.6 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Rhyne Howard · points 16.5 → 15 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.96, Under —

Courtney Williams · points 14.5 → 14 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.95, Under —

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs ATL · last 16 games · MIN leads · MIN record 9–7 · average score 83.4–80.3 · MIN has won by 3.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Aug · MIN 81 at ATL 89MIN lost

27 May · ATL 81 at MIN 96MIN won

9 May · ATL 91 at MIN 90MIN lost

What each defense gives up per game

ATL gives up84.1 points · 31.6 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.6% of shots · 34.7% from three-point range · 15.6 opponent turnovers

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

ATL gives up 84.1 points a game · 4th of 15 · league average 87.2−3.1 vs average

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.2−3.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had ATL expected to win by 5.5, expected total 159.5 (Sat 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 76 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 77 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 82 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 94 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 95 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 189 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 230 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 260 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 279 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 301 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 222 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 34 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 360 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 462 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 253 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 296 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 315 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1803 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1823 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1824 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1825 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1826 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1827 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1836 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1906 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1907 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1926 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.