WNBA · May 10 gameAll props Full sheet

New York Liberty at Washington Mystics

FinalNYL 98 – WAS 93Page updated 11:36 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New York Liberty

Breanna Stewart · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 23 actual

Jonquel Jones · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 13 actual

Marine Johannes · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 25 actual

Washington Mystics

Betnijah Laney-Hamilton · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 3 actual

Georgia Amoore · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 7 actual

Kiki Iriafen · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 20 actual

Shakira Austin · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 16 actual

Sonia Citron · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 17 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYL expected to win by about 5.5 · both teams together expected to score about 164.5 points · odds to win: NYL 1.43, WAS 2.95

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 18:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:36 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 100 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Marine Johannes · points 10.5 → 25 · 14.5 above the line · played 37.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Betnijah Laney-Hamilton · points 11.5 → 3 · 8.5 below the line · played 25.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.95

Kiki Iriafen · points 13.5 → 20 · 6.5 above the line · played 27.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Shakira Austin · points 12.5 → 16 · 3.5 above the line · played 33.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Georgia Amoore · points 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91

Jonquel Jones · points 15.5 → 13 · 2.5 below the line · played 24.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.76

Breanna Stewart · points 20.5 → 23 · 2.5 above the line · played 38.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Sonia Citron · points 15.5 → 17 · 1.5 above the line · played 35.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.97

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

WAS vs NYL · last 20 games · NYL leads · WAS record 4–16 · average score 77.5–84.7 · WAS has lost by 7.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

19 Jun · WAS 86 at NYL 83WAS won

14 Jun · WAS 64 at NYL 86WAS lost

10 May · NYL 98 at WAS 93WAS lost

9 Sep · WAS 66 at NYL 75WAS lost

What each defense gives up per game

NYL gives up86.0 points · 31.3 rebounds · 21.3 assists · 9.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.7% of shots · 34.4% from three-point range · 10.9 opponent turnovers

WAS gives up83.2 points · 30.0 rebounds · 19.8 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.1% of shots · 32.9% from three-point range · 11.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

NYL gives up 86.0 points a game · 6th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

WAS gives up 83.2 points a game · 2nd of 15 · league average 87.2−4.0 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NYL expected to win by 5.5, expected total 164.5 (Sun 18:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 18:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 160 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 192 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 277 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 314 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 314 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 319 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 344 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 384 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 443 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 112 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 501 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 86 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 289 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 778 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 805 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 862 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 899 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1418 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 920 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 937 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 983 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.