WNBA · May 10 gameAll props Full sheet

Seattle Storm at Connecticut Sun

FinalSEA 89 – CON 82Page updated 12:23 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Seattle Storm

Dominique Malonga · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 6 actual

Flau'jae Johnson · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 6 actual

Natisha Hiedeman · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 11 actual

Stefanie Dolson · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Connecticut Sun

Brittney Griner · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 16 actual

Diamond Miller · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 13 actual

Kennedy Burke · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 12 actual

Saniya Rivers · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

CON expected to win by about 2.5 · both teams together expected to score about 163.5 points · odds to win: SEA 1.96, CON 1.89

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 16:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 12:23 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

SEA had 9 days off before this game · CON had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 77 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Saniya Rivers · points 10.5 → 2 · 8.5 below the line · played 19.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Flau'jae Johnson · rebounds 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 29.7 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.05

Dominique Malonga · points 17.5 → 6 · 11.5 below the line · played 19.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.80

Diamond Miller · points 8.5 → 13 · 4.5 above the line · played 26.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.10

Kennedy Burke · points 8.5 → 12 · 3.5 above the line · played 33.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.74

Stefanie Dolson · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 20.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.28, Under 1.60

Natisha Hiedeman · points 13.5 → 11 · 2.5 below the line · played 25.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.78

Brittney Griner · points 13.5 → 16 · 2.5 above the line · played 27.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CON vs SEA · last 16 games · CON leads · CON record 9–7 · average score 80.3–80.9 · CON has lost by 0.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

22 May · CON 59 at SEA 77CON lost

20 May · CON 80 at SEA 78CON won

10 May · SEA 89 at CON 82CON lost

What each defense gives up per game

SEA gives up88.9 points · 36.3 rebounds · 21.1 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.0% of shots · 32.7% from three-point range · 12.8 opponent turnovers

CON gives up87.7 points · 33.9 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.3% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

SEA gives up 88.9 points a game · 10th of 15 · league average 87.2+1.8 vs average

CON gives up 87.7 points a game · 9th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had CON expected to win by 2.5, expected total 163.5 (Sun 16:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 16:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 54 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 56 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 63 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 82 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 84 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 84 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 93 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 94 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 95 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 234 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 243 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 247 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 36 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 39 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 40 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 296 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 64 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 74 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 80 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 336 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 267 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 531 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 532 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 541 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 556 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 557 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 555 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 817 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 573 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 578 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.