WNBA · May 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Atlanta Dream at Dallas Wings

FinalATL 77 – DAL 72Page updated 13:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Atlanta Dream

Allisha Gray · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 26 actual

Angel Reese · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 12 actual

Jordin Canada · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 19 actual

Naz Hillmon · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 1 actual

Rhyne Howard · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 14 actual

Dallas Wings

Alanna Smith · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 2 actual

Arike Ogunbowale · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 20 actual

Jessica Shepard · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 12 actual

Odyssey Sims · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 7 actual

Paige Bueckers · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 15 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

ATL expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 180.5 points · odds to win: ATL 1.85, DAL 2.01

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 13:10 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 157 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Naz Hillmon · points 10.5 → 1 · 9.5 below the line · played 35.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.81

Jordin Canada · points 10.5 → 19 · 8.5 above the line · played 31.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.01

Alanna Smith · points 8.5 → 2 · 6.5 below the line · played 26.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.03

Allisha Gray · points 17.5 → 26 · 8.5 above the line · played 33.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Jessica Shepard · points 8.5 → 12 · 3.5 above the line · played 30.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.80

Arike Ogunbowale · points 15.5 → 20 · 4.5 above the line · played 35.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83

Odyssey Sims · points 9.5 → 7 · 2.5 below the line · played 23 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.09

Paige Bueckers · points 19.5 → 15 · 4.5 below the line · played 31.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.87

Angel Reese · points 14.5 → 12 · 2.5 below the line · played 33.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.92

Rhyne Howard · points 16.5 → 14 · 2.5 below the line · played 36.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.01

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs ATL · last 18 games · ATL leads · DAL record 8–10 · average score 81.2–80.1 · DAL has won by 1.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Jul · ATL 82 at DAL 81DAL lost

22 May · DAL 69 at ATL 86DAL lost

12 May · ATL 77 at DAL 72DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

ATL gives up84.1 points · 31.6 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.6% of shots · 34.7% from three-point range · 15.6 opponent turnovers

DAL gives up86.0 points · 33.2 rebounds · 20.0 assists · 8.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 11.8 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

ATL gives up 84.1 points a game · 4th of 15 · league average 87.2−3.1 vs average

DAL gives up 86.0 points a game · 5th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had ATL expected to win by 1.5, expected total 180.5 (Tue 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 14 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 106 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 112 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 124 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 143 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 97 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 84 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 237 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 377 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 170 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 606 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 574 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 581 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 580 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 639 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 643 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 646 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 647 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 648 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 653 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.