WNBA · May 13 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Fever at Los Angeles Sparks

FinalIND 87 – LAS 78Page updated 11:36 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Fever

Aliyah Boston · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 4 actual

Caitlin Clark · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 24 actual

Kelsey Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 23 actual

Monique Billings · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 9 actual

Los Angeles Sparks

Ariel Atkins · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 2 actual

Dearica Hamby · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 16 actual

Nneka Ogwumike · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 10 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 186 points · odds to win: IND 1.96, LAS 1.89

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 02:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:36 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

IND also played the day before this game · LAS had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 91 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 1 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Ariel Atkins · points 12.5 → 2 · 10.5 below the line · played 15.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.76

Aliyah Boston · points 16.5 → 4 · 12.5 below the line · played 22.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.76

Nneka Ogwumike · points 17.5 → 10 · 7.5 below the line · played 31.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Caitlin Clark · points 19.5 → 24 · 4.5 above the line · played 31.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.80

Monique Billings · points 7.5 → 9 · 1.5 above the line · played 26.5 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.82

Kelsey Mitchell · points 20.5 → 23 · 2.5 above the line · played 27.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.81

Dearica Hamby · points 15.5 → 16 · 0.5 above the line · played 29.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAS vs IND · last 16 games · LAS leads · LAS record 10–6 · average score 86.4–84.7 · LAS has won by 1.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

8 Jul · IND 92 at LAS 106LAS won

27 Jun · LAS 87 at IND 111LAS lost

13 May · IND 87 at LAS 78LAS lost

What each defense gives up per game

IND gives up90.7 points · 31.9 rebounds · 20.8 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.2% of shots · 34.0% from three-point range · 12.6 opponent turnovers

LAS gives up91.3 points · 35.5 rebounds · 22.2 assists · 8.9 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 47.2% of shots · 33.6% from three-point range · 13.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

IND gives up 90.7 points a game · 12th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

LAS gives up 91.3 points a game · 14th of 15 · league average 87.2+4.1 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 1.5, expected total 186 (Thu 02:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 02:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 33 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 52 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 65 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 67 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 68 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 73 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 79 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 183 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 184 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 193 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 195 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 22 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 86 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 323 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 110 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 327 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 371 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 641 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 594 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 606 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 605 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 607 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 794 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 804 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 867 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.