WNBA · May 13 gameAll props Full sheet

Las Vegas Aces at Connecticut Sun

FinalLVA 98 – CON 69Page updated 11:36 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

points 23.5 → 22 actual

Chelsea Gray · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 7 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 11 actual

Jewell Loyd · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 11 actual

NaLyssa Smith · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Connecticut Sun

Brittney Griner · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → no final stat available

Diamond Miller · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 5 actual

Olivia Nelson-Ododa · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 14 actual

Saniya Rivers · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 14.5 · both teams together expected to score about 172.5 points · odds to win: LVA 1.10, CON 8.20

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:36 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

LVA also played the day before this game · CON had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 111 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 1 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Olivia Nelson-Ododa · points 7.5 → 14 · 6.5 above the line · played 22.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.76

Diamond Miller · points 10.5 → 5 · 5.5 below the line · played 24.4 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.98

Chelsea Gray · points 11.5 → 7 · 4.5 below the line · played 26.2 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Jackie Young · points 16.5 → 11 · 5.5 below the line · played 26.6 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.91

NaLyssa Smith · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 17.5 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.95

Jewell Loyd · points 9.5 → 11 · 1.5 above the line · played 27.7 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.83

Saniya Rivers · points 9.5 → 8 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.9 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.78

A'ja Wilson · points 23.5 → 22 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.7 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.80

Brittney Griner · points 12.5 → no final stat available · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CON vs LVA · last 20 games · LVA leads · CON record 3–17 · average score 78.1–86.9 · CON has lost by 8.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

20 Aug · CON 78 at LVA 101CON lost

15 May · LVA 101 at CON 94CON lost

13 May · LVA 98 at CON 69CON lost

What each defense gives up per game

LVA gives up86.2 points · 33.5 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.5% of shots · 34.7% from three-point range · 13.1 opponent turnovers

CON gives up87.7 points · 33.9 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.3% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LVA gives up 86.2 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

CON gives up 87.7 points a game · 9th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LVA expected to win by 14.5, expected total 172.5 (Wed 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 18 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 18 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 19 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 21 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 22 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 27 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 33 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 118 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 120 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 166 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 63 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 141 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 304 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 244 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 679 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 557 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 829 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 861 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 863 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 862 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 863 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 905 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 958 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 961 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.