WNBA · May 14 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Lynx at Dallas Wings

FinalMIN 90 – DAL 86Page updated 11:36 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 21 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 11 actual

Natasha Howard · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 26 actual

Nia Coffey · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 13 actual

Olivia Miles · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 15 actual

Dallas Wings

Alanna Smith · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Arike Ogunbowale · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 6 actual

Azzi Fudd · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 8 actual

Jessica Shepard · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 7 actual

Odyssey Sims · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 11 actual

Paige Bueckers · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 4 · both teams together expected to score about 178 points · odds to win: MIN 2.44, DAL 1.59

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:36 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 140 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Natasha Howard · points 12.5 → 26 · 13.5 above the line · played 34.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.97

Nia Coffey · points 6.5 → 13 · 6.5 above the line · played 29.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.80

Arike Ogunbowale · points 17.5 → 6 · 11.5 below the line · played 30 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.70

Paige Bueckers · assists 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 31.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.07, Under 1.72

Courtney Williams · points 14.5 → 21 · 6.5 above the line · played 30.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.87

Jessica Shepard · points 10.5 → 7 · 3.5 below the line · played 30.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.94

Alanna Smith · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 26.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.86

Kayla McBride · points 15.5 → 11 · 4.5 below the line · played 34 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.04

Azzi Fudd · points 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 19.9 min · no final price

Odyssey Sims · points 10.5 → 11 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.99

Olivia Miles · points 15.5 → 15 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs MIN · last 19 games · MIN leads · DAL record 6–13 · average score 83.7–88.1 · DAL has lost by 4.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Aug · DAL 90 at MIN 103DAL lost

28 Jun · MIN 85 at DAL 77DAL lost

9 Jun · DAL 76 at MIN 100DAL lost

14 May · MIN 90 at DAL 86DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

DAL gives up86.0 points · 33.2 rebounds · 20.0 assists · 8.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 11.8 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.2−3.3 vs average

DAL gives up 86.0 points a game · 5th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 4, expected total 178 (Thu 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 26 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 102 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 116 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 122 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 126 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 145 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 96 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 274 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 937 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 4768 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 22 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 25 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 27 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 28 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 36 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 53 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 166 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1694 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1696 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1746 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2156 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2158 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2163 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2372 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2377 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2594 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2596 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3025 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.