WNBA · May 15 gameAll props Full sheet

Chicago Sky at Phoenix Mercury

FinalCHI 83 – PHO 91Page updated 10:41 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Chicago Sky

Gabriela Jaquez · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 13 actual

Jacy Sheldon · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 8 actual

Kamilla Cardoso · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 7 actual

Skylar Diggins · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 0 actual

Phoenix Mercury

Alyssa Thomas · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 17 actual

Jovana Nogic · minutes unknown

points 21.5 → 27 actual

Kahleah Copper · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 17 actual

Natasha Mack · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 10 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

PHO expected to win by about 4 · both teams together expected to score about 165.5 points · odds to win: CHI 2.60, PHO 1.53

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 01:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 10:41 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

CHI had 8 days off before this game · PHO had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 83 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Skylar Diggins · points 16.5 → 0 · 16.5 below the line · played 11.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.83

Kamilla Cardoso · points 13.5 → 7 · 6.5 below the line · played 22.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.02

Jovana Nogic · points 21.5 → 27 · 5.5 above the line · played 31 min · no final price

Jacy Sheldon · points 10.5 → 8 · 2.5 below the line · played 25.6 min · no final price

Natasha Mack · points 8.5 → 10 · 1.5 above the line · played 30 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.93

Gabriela Jaquez · points 11.5 → 13 · 1.5 above the line · played 28.7 min · no final price

Kahleah Copper · points 18.5 → 17 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.9 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.98

Alyssa Thomas · points 16.5 → 17 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.2 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

PHO vs CHI · last 16 games · PHO leads · PHO record 10–6 · average score 83.8–80.6 · PHO has won by 3.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

3 Aug · PHO 106 at CHI 101PHO won

7 Jul · CHI 77 at PHO 66PHO lost

15 May · CHI 83 at PHO 91PHO won

What each defense gives up per game

CHI gives up90.7 points · 37.1 rebounds · 20.7 assists · 8.2 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.8% from three-point range · 12.9 opponent turnovers

PHO gives up87.6 points · 34.0 rebounds · 21.5 assists · 9.7 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.4% of shots · 36.1% from three-point range · 12.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

CHI gives up 90.7 points a game · 11th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

PHO gives up 87.6 points a game · 8th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had PHO expected to win by 4, expected total 165.5 (Sat 01:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 01:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 39 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 42 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 46 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 62 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 68 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 224 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 226 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 246 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 251 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 260 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 244 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 308 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 428 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 62 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 71 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 81 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 290 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1123 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 832 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 834 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 833 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 837 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 838 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2141 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2402 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.