WNBA · May 21 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Valkyries at New York Liberty

FinalGSV 87 – NYL 70Page updated 09:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Valkyries

Veronica Burton · minutes unknown

rebounds + assists 10.5 → 11 actual

New York Liberty

Breanna Stewart · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 18 actual

Jonquel Jones · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 16 actual

Marine Johannes · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 0 actual

Pauline Astier · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 7 actual

Sabrina Ionescu · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → no final stat available

Satou Sabally · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYL expected to win by about 8 · both teams together expected to score about 171.5 points · odds to win: GSV 3.04, NYL 1.40

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) and 1 other bookmaker · observed Thu 23:38 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 09:46 UTC

Who is out

Laney-Hamilton · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Tue 01:00 UTC) · 11, 13 and 10 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 13 of the 131 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Laney-Hamilton out (Tue 01:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 1 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Marine Johannes · points 14.5 → 0 · 14.5 below the line · played 26.2 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.84

Satou Sabally · points 10.5 → 5 · 5.5 below the line · played 16.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Pauline Astier · points 11.5 → 7 · 4.5 below the line · played 24.9 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.85

Jonquel Jones · points 12.5 → 16 · 3.5 above the line · played 28.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.80

Breanna Stewart · points 19.5 → 18 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Veronica Burton · rebounds + assists 10.5 → 11 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.5 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.76

Sabrina Ionescu · points 14.5 → no final stat available · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.76

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NYL vs GSV · last 7 games · GSV leads · NYL record 3–4 · average score 73.3–75.7 · NYL has lost by 2.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Aug · GSV 79 at NYL 60NYL lost

28 Jun · NYL 67 at GSV 76NYL lost

21 May · GSV 87 at NYL 70NYL lost

What each defense gives up per game

GSV gives up75.9 points · 32.5 rebounds · 18.3 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 41.7% of shots · 33.0% from three-point range · 13.6 opponent turnovers

NYL gives up86.0 points · 31.3 rebounds · 21.3 assists · 9.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.7% of shots · 34.4% from three-point range · 10.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

GSV gives up 75.9 points a game · 1st of 15 · league average 87.2−11.2 vs average

NYL gives up 86.0 points a game · 6th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NYL expected to win by 7, expected total 170.5 (Thu 04:14 UTC) and later NYL expected to win by 6, expected total 169.5 (Thu 23:38 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 53 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 70 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 96 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 132 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 209 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 243 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 249 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 256 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 361 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 375 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 423 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (ra)ok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 265 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1177 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 809 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 970 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 969 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 970 ms

odds player timeline (ra)ok 200 · 971 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 973 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1038 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.