WNBA · May 22 gameAll props Full sheet

Connecticut Sun at Seattle Storm

FinalCON 59 – SEA 77Page updated 14:58 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 3 availability alerts

Out Magbegor · earlier listed as available

Out Nelson-Ododa · earlier listed as available

May not play Griner · right rib · CON

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Magbegor · earlier listed as available · Thu 00:00 UTC · 28, 22 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Out Nelson-Ododa · earlier listed as available · Sat 20:45 UTC · 16, 10 and 24 min in the last 3 games

May not play Griner · right rib · CON

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Connecticut Sun

Aaliyah Edwards · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 7 actual

Brittney Griner · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → no final stat available

Diamond Miller · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 13 actual

Saniya Rivers · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 2 actual

Seattle Storm

Jade Melbourne · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 4 actual

Natisha Hiedeman · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 11 actual

Stefanie Dolson · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SEA expected to win by about 2 · both teams together expected to score about 166 points · odds to win: CON 2.10, SEA 1.77

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) and 5 other bookmakers · observed Sat 01:56 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:58 UTC

Who is out

Out Magbegor · earlier listed as available (changed Thu 00:00 UTC) · 28, 22 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Out Nelson-Ododa · earlier listed as available (changed Sat 20:45 UTC) · 16, 10 and 24 min in the last 3 games

May not play Griner · right rib · CON

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

CON had 8 days off before this game · SEA had 9 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 63 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Magbegor out (Thu 00:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Nelson-Ododa out (Sat 20:45 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Aaliyah Edwards · rebounds 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 24.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.00

Saniya Rivers · points 9.5 → 2 · 7.5 below the line · played 21.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.18, Under 1.65

Jade Melbourne · points 11.5 → 4 · 7.5 below the line · played 20.4 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.79

Stefanie Dolson · points 8.5 → 5 · 3.5 below the line · played 24.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Diamond Miller · points 9.5 → 13 · 3.5 above the line · played 23.4 min · no final price

Natisha Hiedeman · points 15.5 → 11 · 4.5 below the line · played 27 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.86

Brittney Griner · points 13.5 → no final stat available · BetRivers odds: Over 1.88, Under —

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SEA vs CON · last 16 games · CON leads · SEA record 7–9 · average score 80.9–80.3 · SEA has won by 0.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

22 May · CON 59 at SEA 77SEA won

20 May · CON 80 at SEA 78SEA lost

10 May · SEA 89 at CON 82SEA won

What each defense gives up per game

CON gives up87.7 points · 33.9 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.3% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

SEA gives up88.9 points · 36.3 rebounds · 21.1 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.0% of shots · 32.7% from three-point range · 12.8 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

CON gives up 87.7 points a game · 9th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

SEA gives up 88.9 points a game · 10th of 15 · league average 87.2+1.8 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SEA expected to win by 2.5, expected total 166 (Fri 00:08 UTC) and later SEA expected to win by 2, expected total 166 (Sat 01:56 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 123 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 126 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 129 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 129 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 134 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 139 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 198 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 143 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 436 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 269 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 280 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 537 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 305 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 402 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 412 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 419 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 436 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 455 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 895 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 481 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 486 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1815 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2671 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2362 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2449 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2461 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3384 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3385 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3386 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.