WNBA · Jun 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Atlanta Dream at Indiana Fever

FinalATL 71 – IND 83Page updated 11:37 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Jones · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Jones · earlier listed as available · Sat 21:00 UTC · 5, 20 and 22 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Atlanta Dream

Allisha Gray · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 13 actual

Angel Reese · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 11 actual

Jordin Canada · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 13 actual

Naz Hillmon · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 12 actual

Rhyne Howard · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 8 actual

Indiana Fever

Aliyah Boston · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 19 actual

Caitlin Clark · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 17 actual

Kelsey Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 25 actual

Sophie Cunningham · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 174 points · odds to win: ATL 1.95, IND 1.89

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 23:16 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:37 UTC

Who is out

Hall · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Fri 21:00 UTC) · 14, 2 and 1 min in the last 3 games

Out Jones · earlier listed as available (changed Sat 21:00 UTC) · 5, 20 and 22 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

IND also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 18 of the 121 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Hall out (Fri 21:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Jones out (Sat 21:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Rhyne Howard · points 17.5 → 8 · 9.5 below the line · played 36.6 min · no final price

Allisha Gray · points 20.5 → 13 · 7.5 below the line · played 36 min · no final price

Kelsey Mitchell · points 18.5 → 25 · 6.5 above the line · played 32.9 min · no final price

Naz Hillmon · points 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 28.1 min · no final price

Angel Reese · points 14.5 → 11 · 3.5 below the line · played 31.4 min · no final price

Aliyah Boston · points 15.5 → 19 · 3.5 above the line · played 30.5 min · no final price

Caitlin Clark · points 20.5 → 17 · 3.5 below the line · played 30.9 min · no final price

Jordin Canada · points 11.5 → 13 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.9 min · no final price

Sophie Cunningham · points 8.5 → 8 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs ATL · last 23 games · IND leads · IND record 12–11 · average score 84.8–86.0 · IND has lost by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

16 Aug · IND 95 at ATL 91IND won

20 Jun · IND 96 at ATL 113IND lost

18 Jun · ATL 108 at IND 101IND lost

4 Jun · ATL 71 at IND 83IND won

What each defense gives up per game

ATL gives up84.1 points · 31.6 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.6% of shots · 34.7% from three-point range · 15.6 opponent turnovers

IND gives up90.7 points · 31.9 rebounds · 20.8 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.2% of shots · 34.0% from three-point range · 12.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

ATL gives up 84.1 points a game · 4th of 15 · league average 87.2−3.1 vs average

IND gives up 90.7 points a game · 12th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 1, expected total 173 (Thu 03:10 UTC) and later IND expected to win by 1, expected total 174 (Thu 23:16 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 58 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 68 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 70 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 70 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 150 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 190 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 193 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 198 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 204 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 222 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 98 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 387 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 436 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 61 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 83 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 253 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 274 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 281 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 290 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2067 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1815 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1867 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2192 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2717 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2721 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2781 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2784 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3032 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.