WNBA · Jun 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Valkyries at Minnesota Lynx

FinalGSV 84 – MIN 87Page updated 11:37 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available · Wed 00:15 UTC · 4, 18 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Valkyries

Cecilia Zandalasini · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 18 actual

Gabby Williams · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 5 actual

Janelle Salaun · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 17 actual

Kayla Thornton · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 9 actual

Veronica Burton · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 8 actual

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 17 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 14 actual

Natasha Howard · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 12 actual

Nia Coffey · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 3 actual

Olivia Miles · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 28 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 169.5 points · odds to win: GSV 2.43, MIN 1.60

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:37 UTC

Who is out

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available (changed Wed 00:15 UTC) · 4, 18 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Cechova · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 16:00 UTC) · 11, 22 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Collier · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 21:45 UTC) · 33, 33 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 18 of the 116 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Carrington out (Wed 00:15 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Cechova out (Sun 16:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Collier out (Sun 21:45 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Olivia Miles · points 14.5 → 28 · 13.5 above the line · played 28.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.78

Cecilia Zandalasini · points 9.5 → 18 · 8.5 above the line · played 26.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.72

Gabby Williams · points 14.5 → 5 · 9.5 below the line · played 24.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.22, Under 1.61

Nia Coffey · points 8.5 → 3 · 5.5 below the line · played 35 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.33, Under 1.56

Veronica Burton · points 13.5 → 8 · 5.5 below the line · played 26 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.09, Under 1.69

Janelle Salaun · points 12.5 → 17 · 4.5 above the line · played 19.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.74

Natasha Howard · points 15.5 → 12 · 3.5 below the line · played 29.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.12, Under 1.67

Kayla Thornton · points 10.5 → 9 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.80

Kayla McBride · points 12.5 → 14 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.08

Courtney Williams · points 15.5 → 17 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.93

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs GSV · last 10 games · MIN leads · MIN record 9–1 · average score 80.5–72.2 · MIN has won by 8.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

24 Aug · GSV 80 at MIN 66MIN lost

19 Aug · MIN 77 at GSV 66MIN won

19 Jun · MIN 81 at GSV 75MIN won

4 Jun · GSV 84 at MIN 87MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

GSV gives up75.9 points · 32.5 rebounds · 18.3 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 41.7% of shots · 33.0% from three-point range · 13.6 opponent turnovers

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

GSV gives up 75.9 points a game · 1st of 15 · league average 87.2−11.2 vs average

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.2−3.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 3, expected total 164 (Thu 03:10 UTC) and later MIN expected to win by 3.5, expected total 169.5 (Fri 01:05 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 23 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 25 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 32 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 34 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 34 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 101 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 155 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 159 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 110 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 116 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 275 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 299 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1622 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1623 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1624 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1623 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1624 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1958 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1957 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1958 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2163 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.