WNBA · Jun 6 gameAll props Full sheet

Washington Mystics at Atlanta Dream

FinalWAS 77 – ATL 109Page updated 14:58 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Jones · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Jones · earlier listed as available · Sat 21:00 UTC · 5, 20 and 22 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Washington Mystics

Georgia Amoore · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Kiki Iriafen · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 24 actual

Michaela Onyenwere · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 4 actual

Shakira Austin · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 7 actual

Sonia Citron · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 18 actual

Atlanta Dream

Allisha Gray · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 15 actual

Angel Reese · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 18 actual

Jordin Canada · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 11 actual

Naz Hillmon · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Rhyne Howard · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 19 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

ATL expected to win by about 10 · both teams together expected to score about 159 points · odds to win: WAS 4.47, ATL 1.18

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 22:06 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:58 UTC

Who is out

Out Jones · earlier listed as available (changed Sat 21:00 UTC) · 5, 20 and 22 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 15 of the 123 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Jones out (Sat 21:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Kiki Iriafen · points 13.5 → 24 · 10.5 above the line · played 27.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.12, Under 1.68

Georgia Amoore · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 22.5 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.08

Shakira Austin · points 15.5 → 7 · 8.5 below the line · played 22.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.16, Under 1.65

Michaela Onyenwere · points 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 21.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.78

Angel Reese · points 12.5 → 18 · 5.5 above the line · played 25 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.99

Naz Hillmon · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 25.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.97

Allisha Gray · points 19.5 → 15 · 4.5 below the line · played 25.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.86

Sonia Citron · points 15.5 → 18 · 2.5 above the line · played 28.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.17, Under 1.64

Rhyne Howard · points 16.5 → 19 · 2.5 above the line · played 21.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.08

Jordin Canada · points 11.5 → 11 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.86, Under 1.88

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ATL vs WAS · last 21 games · ATL leads · ATL record 11–10 · average score 81.1–80.1 · ATL has won by 1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Sep · ATL 93 at WAS 75ATL won

27 Sep · WAS 77 at ATL 92ATL won

7 Aug · ATL 74 at WAS 79ATL lost

2 Jul · ATL 76 at WAS 81ATL lost

6 Jun · WAS 77 at ATL 109ATL won

What each defense gives up per game

WAS gives up83.2 points · 30.0 rebounds · 19.8 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.1% of shots · 32.9% from three-point range · 11.9 opponent turnovers

ATL gives up84.1 points · 31.6 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.6% of shots · 34.7% from three-point range · 15.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

WAS gives up 83.2 points a game · 2nd of 15 · league average 87.2−4.0 vs average

ATL gives up 84.1 points a game · 4th of 15 · league average 87.2−3.1 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had ATL expected to win by 10, expected total 160.5 (Sat 01:45 UTC) and later ATL expected to win by 10, expected total 159 (Sat 22:06 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 11 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 117 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 119 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 120 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 126 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 27 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 152 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 114 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 253 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 428 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1014 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 274 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 322 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 334 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1509 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2147 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2261 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2262 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2264 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2287 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2305 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2339 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2363 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.