WNBA · Jun 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces

FinalSEA 91 – LVA 101Page updated 16:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 4 availability alerts

Out Evans · earlier listed as available

Out Magbegor · earlier listed as available

Out Carter · left leg · LVA

Out Brown · SEA

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Evans · earlier listed as available · Thu 19:30 UTC · 15, 4 and 14 min in the last 3 games

Out Magbegor · earlier listed as available · Thu 00:00 UTC · 28, 22 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Out Carter · left leg · LVA

Out Brown · SEA

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Seattle Storm

Awa Fam · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 16 actual

Dominique Malonga · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 19 actual

Flau'jae Johnson · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 13 actual

Jade Melbourne · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 6 actual

Natisha Hiedeman · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 17 actual

Stefanie Dolson · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 3 actual

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

points 25.5 → 34 actual

Chelsea Gray · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 12 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 29 actual

Jewell Loyd · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 5 actual

NaLyssa Smith · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 16 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 15.5 · both teams together expected to score about 162.5 points · odds to win: SEA 8.80, LVA 1.09

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 02:10 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:28 UTC

Who is out

Out Evans · earlier listed as available (changed Thu 19:30 UTC) · 15, 4 and 14 min in the last 3 games

Out Magbegor · earlier listed as available (changed Thu 00:00 UTC) · 28, 22 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Out Carter · left leg · LVA

Out Brown · SEA

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

SEA had 9 days off before this game · LVA also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 16 of the 111 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Carter out · played

Flagged before the game: Evans out (Thu 19:30 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Magbegor out (Thu 00:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Brown out · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Dominique Malonga · points 9.5 → 19 · 9.5 above the line · played 16.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.01, Under 1.75

Jackie Young · points 16.5 → 29 · 12.5 above the line · played 34.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.84

Awa Fam · points 9.5 → 16 · 6.5 above the line · played 29.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.01, Under 1.75

NaLyssa Smith · points 9.5 → 16 · 6.5 above the line · played 26.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.85

Stefanie Dolson · points 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 15.9 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.10

Jewell Loyd · points 8.5 → 5 · 3.5 below the line · played 27.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Natisha Hiedeman · points 12.5 → 17 · 4.5 above the line · played 28.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.84

A'ja Wilson · points 25.5 → 34 · 8.5 above the line · played 35.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.89

Flau'jae Johnson · points 11.5 → 13 · 1.5 above the line · played 24 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.81

Jade Melbourne · points 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Chelsea Gray · points 11.5 → 12 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.73

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LVA vs SEA · last 28 games · LVA leads · LVA record 22–6 · average score 89.0–79.8 · LVA has won by 9.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

20 Sep · SEA 77 at LVA 98LVA won

17 Sep · LVA 114 at SEA 77LVA won

8 Jun · SEA 91 at LVA 101LVA won

What each defense gives up per game

SEA gives up88.9 points · 36.3 rebounds · 21.1 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.0% of shots · 32.7% from three-point range · 12.8 opponent turnovers

LVA gives up86.2 points · 33.5 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.5% of shots · 34.7% from three-point range · 13.1 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

SEA gives up 88.9 points a game · 10th of 15 · league average 87.2+1.8 vs average

LVA gives up 86.2 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LVA expected to win by 15, expected total 162 (Mon 03:16 UTC) and later LVA expected to win by 15.5, expected total 162.5 (Tue 02:10 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 120 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 125 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 133 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 142 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 332 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 340 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 347 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 87 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 628 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 371 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 373 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 383 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 384 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 386 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 387 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 389 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2027 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1811 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1866 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1935 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1938 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1956 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1958 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2126 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2133 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2150 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2162 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.