WNBA · Jun 9 gameAll props Full sheet

Phoenix Mercury at Golden State Valkyries

FinalPHO 81 – GSV 87Page updated 12:23 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Phoenix Mercury

Alyssa Thomas · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 22 actual

Kahleah Copper · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 9 actual

Natasha Mack · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 9 actual

Golden State Valkyries

Cecilia Zandalasini · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 0 actual

Gabby Williams · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 25 actual

Janelle Salaun · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 11 actual

Kayla Thornton · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 12 actual

Veronica Burton · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 25 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSV expected to win by about 5.5 · both teams together expected to score about 162.5 points · odds to win: PHO 2.77, GSV 1.46

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 02:18 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 12:23 UTC

Who is out

Whitcomb · earlier listed as likely to play, now available (changed Thu 00:00 UTC) · 19, 15 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

PHO had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 9 of the 140 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Whitcomb out (Thu 00:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Cecilia Zandalasini · points 8.5 → 0 · 8.5 below the line · played 17.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.96

Veronica Burton · points 12.5 → 25 · 12.5 above the line · played 37.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.68, Under —

Gabby Williams · points 14.5 → 25 · 10.5 above the line · played 29.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.76

Kahleah Copper · points 18.5 → 9 · 9.5 below the line · played 26.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.65

Alyssa Thomas · points 15.5 → 22 · 6.5 above the line · played 32.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.11, Under 1.68

Kayla Thornton · points 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.94, Under —

Janelle Salaun · points 13.5 → 11 · 2.5 below the line · played 25.4 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.82

Natasha Mack · points 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSV vs PHO · last 7 games · PHO leads · GSV record 2–5 · average score 84.0–84.9 · GSV has lost by 0.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Jul · GSV 89 at PHO 91GSV lost

9 Jun · PHO 81 at GSV 87GSV won

10 May · PHO 79 at GSV 95GSV won

What each defense gives up per game

PHO gives up87.6 points · 34.0 rebounds · 21.5 assists · 9.7 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.4% of shots · 36.1% from three-point range · 12.9 opponent turnovers

GSV gives up75.9 points · 32.5 rebounds · 18.3 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 41.7% of shots · 33.0% from three-point range · 13.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

PHO gives up 87.6 points a game · 8th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

GSV gives up 75.9 points a game · 1st of 15 · league average 87.2−11.2 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSV expected to win by 8, expected total 162.5 (Tue 01:40 UTC) and later GSV expected to win by 5.5, expected total 162.5 (Wed 02:18 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 27 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 34 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 35 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 36 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 39 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 45 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 104 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 173 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 186 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 43 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 45 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 50 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 75 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 109 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 166 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 397 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 293 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 325 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 700 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 701 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 708 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 908 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 727 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 730 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 732 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 795 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.