WNBA · Jun 11 gameAll props Full sheet

Phoenix Mercury at Dallas Wings

FinalPHO 70 – DAL 85Page updated 14:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Phoenix Mercury

Alyssa Thomas · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 6 actual

Kahleah Copper · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 13 actual

Natasha Mack · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 8 actual

Dallas Wings

Arike Ogunbowale · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 2 actual

Aziaha James · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 7 actual

Azzi Fudd · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 17 actual

Jessica Shepard · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 17 actual

Maddy Siegrist · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 0 actual

Paige Bueckers · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 31 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 169.5 points · odds to win: PHO 3.19, DAL 1.38

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 01:06 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:28 UTC

Who is out

Sims · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Sat 16:00 UTC) · 12, 11 and 15 min in the last 3 games

Whitcomb · earlier listed as likely to play, now available (changed Thu 00:00 UTC) · 19, 15 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

PHO had 52 days off before this game · DAL had 44 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 15 of the 119 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Sims out (Sat 16:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Whitcomb out (Thu 00:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Maddy Siegrist · points 8.5 → 0 · 8.5 below the line · played 14 min · no final price

Arike Ogunbowale · points 15.5 → 2 · 13.5 below the line · played 29.1 min · no final price

Paige Bueckers · points 18.5 → 31 · 12.5 above the line · played 32.2 min · no final price

Alyssa Thomas · points 15.5 → 6 · 9.5 below the line · played 32 min · no final price

Jessica Shepard · points 11.5 → 17 · 5.5 above the line · played 32.1 min · no final price

Azzi Fudd · points 13.5 → 17 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.3 min · no final price

Kahleah Copper · points 17.5 → 13 · 4.5 below the line · played 28.9 min · no final price

Natasha Mack · points 9.5 → 8 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.7 min · no final price

Aziaha James · points 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs PHO · last 19 games · DAL leads · DAL record 11–8 · average score 86.5–85.5 · DAL has won by 0.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

21 Sep · DAL 86 at PHO 87DAL lost

19 Sep · PHO 82 at DAL 87DAL won

11 Jun · PHO 70 at DAL 85DAL won

11 Sep · PHO 76 at DAL 97DAL won

What each defense gives up per game

PHO gives up87.6 points · 34.0 rebounds · 21.5 assists · 9.7 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.4% of shots · 36.1% from three-point range · 12.9 opponent turnovers

DAL gives up85.8 points · 33.4 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.7% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 11.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

PHO gives up 87.6 points a game · 8th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

DAL gives up 85.8 points a game · 5th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 6, expected total 170 (Thu 01:12 UTC) and later DAL expected to win by 6.5, expected total 169.5 (Fri 01:06 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 95 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 97 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 112 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 112 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 123 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 129 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 132 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 146 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 181 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 186 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 142 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 70 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 73 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 74 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 79 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 171 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 175 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 372 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 187 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 195 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 199 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 217 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 219 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 230 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 260 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 864 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.