WNBA · Jun 13 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Fever at Connecticut Sun

FinalIND 85 – CON 75Page updated 09:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Fever

Aliyah Boston · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 13 actual

Caitlin Clark · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 25 actual

Kelsey Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 19 actual

Lexie Hull · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 2 actual

Sophie Cunningham · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 11 actual

Connecticut Sun

Aaliyah Edwards · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 7 actual

Brittney Griner · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 10 actual

Diamond Miller · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 4 actual

Leila Lacan · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 11 actual

Saniya Rivers · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 9 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 8.5 · both teams together expected to score about 171 points · odds to win: IND 1.25, CON 4.25

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 22:06 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 09:46 UTC

Who is out

Hall · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Fri 21:00 UTC) · 14, 2 and 1 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

IND also played the day before this game · CON had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 16 of the 100 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Hall out (Fri 21:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Lexie Hull · points 7.5 → 2 · 5.5 below the line · played 22.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.84

Diamond Miller · points 9.5 → 4 · 5.5 below the line · played 16.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.75

Aaliyah Edwards · points 10.5 → 7 · 3.5 below the line · played 14.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.09, Under 1.69

Sophie Cunningham · points 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 17.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.78

Caitlin Clark · points 19.5 → 25 · 5.5 above the line · played 36.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.93

Brittney Griner · points 13.5 → 10 · 3.5 below the line · played 22.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.01, Under 1.75

Aliyah Boston · points 15.5 → 13 · 2.5 below the line · played 32.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.88

Leila Lacan · points 12.5 → 11 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.76

Saniya Rivers · points 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.84

Kelsey Mitchell · points 18.5 → 19 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.00

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CON vs IND · last 22 games · CON leads · CON record 15–7 · average score 85.1–81.4 · CON has won by 3.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

28 Aug · CON 91 at IND 111CON lost

22 Jul · CON 88 at IND 123CON lost

13 Jun · IND 85 at CON 75CON lost

What each defense gives up per game

IND gives up90.7 points · 31.9 rebounds · 20.8 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.2% of shots · 34.0% from three-point range · 12.6 opponent turnovers

CON gives up87.7 points · 33.9 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.3% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

IND gives up 90.7 points a game · 12th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

CON gives up 87.7 points a game · 9th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 10, expected total 170.5 (Sat 02:45 UTC) and later IND expected to win by 8.5, expected total 171 (Sat 22:06 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 80 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 80 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 86 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 152 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 206 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 209 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 219 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 221 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 228 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 239 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 254 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 89 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 365 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1323 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 4051 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 71 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 269 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 293 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 305 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 515 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1055 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1056 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1086 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1137 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1153 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1380 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1381 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1384 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1381 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1385 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.