WNBA · Jun 13 gameAll props Full sheet

Los Angeles Sparks at Phoenix Mercury

FinalLAS 111 – PHO 102Page updated 11:36 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Los Angeles Sparks

Ariel Atkins · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 6 actual

Cameron Brink · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 9 actual

Dearica Hamby · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 8 actual

Erica Wheeler · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Monique Akoa Makani · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 9 actual

Nneka Ogwumike · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 15 actual

Phoenix Mercury

Alyssa Thomas · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 10 actual

Kahleah Copper · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 41 actual

Kelsey Plum · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 43 actual

Natasha Mack · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 11 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LAS expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 172 points · odds to win: LAS 1.86, PHO 1.99

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 02:10 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:36 UTC

Who is out

Whitcomb · earlier listed as likely to play, now available (changed Thu 00:00 UTC) · 19, 15 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

LAS had 8 days off before this game · PHO had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 17 of the 149 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Whitcomb out (Thu 00:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Kahleah Copper · points 17.5 → 41 · 23.5 above the line · played 37.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.10

Kelsey Plum · points 20.5 → 43 · 22.5 above the line · played 36.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.10

Cameron Brink · rebounds 4.5 → 9 · 4.5 above the line · played 21.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.67

Dearica Hamby · points 14.5 → 8 · 6.5 below the line · played 28.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.83

Ariel Atkins · points 9.5 → 6 · 3.5 below the line · played 31.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.84

Alyssa Thomas · points 15.5 → 10 · 5.5 below the line · played 41 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.81

Erica Wheeler · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 28.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.99

Natasha Mack · points 9.5 → 11 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Monique Akoa Makani · points 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 23.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.96

Nneka Ogwumike · points 14.5 → 15 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.61, Under 2.22

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

PHO vs LAS · last 20 games · PHO leads · PHO record 12–8 · average score 85.6–85.4 · PHO has won by 0.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

11 Aug · PHO 94 at LAS 87PHO won

22 Jul · PHO 86 at LAS 82PHO won

13 Jun · LAS 111 at PHO 102PHO lost

21 May · LAS 97 at PHO 88PHO lost

What each defense gives up per game

LAS gives up91.3 points · 35.5 rebounds · 22.2 assists · 8.9 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 47.2% of shots · 33.6% from three-point range · 13.9 opponent turnovers

PHO gives up87.6 points · 34.0 rebounds · 21.5 assists · 9.7 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.4% of shots · 36.1% from three-point range · 12.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LAS gives up 91.3 points a game · 14th of 15 · league average 87.2+4.1 vs average

PHO gives up 87.6 points a game · 8th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LAS expected to win by 1, expected total 176 (Sat 03:16 UTC) and later LAS expected to win by 1.5, expected total 172 (Sun 02:10 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 58 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 61 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 62 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 65 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 168 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 184 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 198 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 220 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 222 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 159 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 51 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 476 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 602 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 828 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 269 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 302 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 314 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 323 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 326 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 329 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 332 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 337 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 341 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 347 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 355 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 357 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 358 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 362 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 372 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 591 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 592 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 591 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 592 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 594 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 624 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 625 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 694 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 837 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 875 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.