WNBA · Jun 13 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Lynx at Las Vegas Aces

FinalMIN 97 – LVA 100Page updated 11:36 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 2 availability alerts

Out Evans · earlier listed as available

Out Joklova · MIN

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Evans · earlier listed as available · Thu 19:30 UTC · 15, 4 and 14 min in the last 3 games

Out Joklova · MIN

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 17 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 19 actual

Natasha Howard · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 22 actual

Nia Coffey · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 3 actual

Olivia Miles · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 29 actual

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

points 25.5 → 24 actual

Chelsea Gray · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 23 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 16 actual

Jewell Loyd · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 9 actual

NaLyssa Smith · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 15 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 174.5 points · odds to win: MIN 2.34, LVA 1.64

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 00:09 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:36 UTC

Who is out

Out Evans · earlier listed as available (changed Thu 19:30 UTC) · 15, 4 and 14 min in the last 3 games

Cechova · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 16:00 UTC) · 11, 22 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Collier · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 21:45 UTC) · 33, 33 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Out Joklova · MIN

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

LVA also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 18 of the 130 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Evans out (Thu 19:30 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Joklova out · played

Flagged before the game: Cechova out (Sun 16:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Collier out (Sun 21:45 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Chelsea Gray · points 11.5 → 23 · 11.5 above the line · played 34.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.79

Olivia Miles · points 16.5 → 29 · 12.5 above the line · played 33.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.83

NaLyssa Smith · points 9.5 → 15 · 5.5 above the line · played 27 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.82

Nia Coffey · rebounds 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 26.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.22, Under 1.61

Kayla McBride · points 12.5 → 19 · 6.5 above the line · played 33.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.95

Natasha Howard · points 15.5 → 22 · 6.5 above the line · played 32.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.83

Jewell Loyd · points 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 26 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.87

Courtney Williams · points 15.5 → 17 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.88

A'ja Wilson · points 25.5 → 24 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Jackie Young · points 16.5 → 16 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.01, Under 1.75

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LVA vs MIN · last 19 games · LVA leads · LVA record 10–9 · average score 84.6–87.1 · LVA has lost by 2.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

15 Aug · MIN 92 at LVA 87LVA lost

8 Aug · LVA 87 at MIN 98LVA lost

13 Jun · MIN 97 at LVA 100LVA won

What each defense gives up per game

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

LVA gives up86.2 points · 33.5 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.5% of shots · 34.7% from three-point range · 13.1 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.2−3.3 vs average

LVA gives up 86.2 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LVA expected to win by 3.5, expected total 175 (Sat 03:16 UTC) and later LVA expected to win by 3.5, expected total 174.5 (Sun 00:09 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 19 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 23 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 26 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 27 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 36 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 157 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 176 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 182 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 193 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 271 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 302 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 191 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 109 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 502 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 319 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 345 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 349 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 351 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 354 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 355 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 385 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 394 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 401 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 414 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 417 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 420 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 932 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 786 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 790 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 886 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1098 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1102 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1140 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1350 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1351 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1352 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1353 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.