WNBA · Jun 15 gameAll props Full sheet

Los Angeles Sparks at Golden State Valkyries

FinalLAS 58 – GSV 78Page updated 14:59 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Los Angeles Sparks

Ariel Atkins · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Cameron Brink · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 10 actual

Dearica Hamby · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 6 actual

Erica Wheeler · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 0 actual

Nneka Ogwumike · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 9 actual

Rae Burrell · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 13 actual

Golden State Valkyries

Gabby Williams · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 16 actual

Janelle Salaun · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 7 actual

Kayla Thornton · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 6 actual

Tiffany Hayes · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 4 actual

Veronica Burton · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 12 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSV expected to win by about 5 · both teams together expected to score about 173 points · odds to win: LAS 2.57, GSV 1.54

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 02:17 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:59 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

LAS had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 18 of the 161 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Erica Wheeler · points 7.5 → 0 · 7.5 below the line · played 27.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.90

Tiffany Hayes · points 9.5 → 4 · 5.5 below the line · played 9.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.78

Dearica Hamby · points 12.5 → 6 · 6.5 below the line · played 26.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.90

Janelle Salaun · points 13.5 → 7 · 6.5 below the line · played 24.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.03

Kayla Thornton · points 10.5 → 6 · 4.5 below the line · played 23 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Rae Burrell · points 9.5 → 13 · 3.5 above the line · played 21.8 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.87

Cameron Brink · points 7.5 → 10 · 2.5 above the line · played 15.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.82

Nneka Ogwumike · points 13.5 → 9 · 4.5 below the line · played 29.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.80

Ariel Atkins · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 21 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Veronica Burton · points 14.5 → 12 · 2.5 below the line · played 29.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.88

Gabby Williams · points 16.5 → 16 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSV vs LAS · last 7 games · GSV leads · GSV record 6–1 · average score 78.3–72.6 · GSV has won by 5.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

24 Sep · GSV 76 at LAS 75GSV won

9 Aug · GSV 84 at LAS 78GSV won

15 Jun · LAS 58 at GSV 78GSV won

What each defense gives up per game

LAS gives up91.3 points · 35.5 rebounds · 22.2 assists · 8.9 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 47.2% of shots · 33.6% from three-point range · 13.9 opponent turnovers

GSV gives up75.9 points · 32.5 rebounds · 18.3 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 41.7% of shots · 33.0% from three-point range · 13.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LAS gives up 91.3 points a game · 14th of 15 · league average 87.2+4.1 vs average

GSV gives up 75.9 points a game · 1st of 15 · league average 87.2−11.2 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSV expected to win by 5, expected total 172.5 (Sun 22:14 UTC) and later GSV expected to win by 5, expected total 173 (Tue 02:17 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 297 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 327 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 341 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 344 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 355 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 357 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 357 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 358 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 369 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 377 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 115 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 86 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 523 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 661 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 312 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 320 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 322 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 347 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 357 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 372 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 377 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 383 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 386 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 399 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 401 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1588 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2237 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2452 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2451 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2452 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2494 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2522 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2675 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2674 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2739 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2740 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2741 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.