WNBA · Jun 15 gameAll props Full sheet

Las Vegas Aces at Dallas Wings

FinalLVA 66 – DAL 96Page updated 13:09 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

points 25.5 → 18 actual

Chelsea Gray · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 0 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 6 actual

Jewell Loyd · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 21 actual

NaLyssa Smith · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 9 actual

Stephanie Talbot · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 4 actual

Dallas Wings

Arike Ogunbowale · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 22 actual

Aziaha James · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 10 actual

Azzi Fudd · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 19 actual

Jessica Shepard · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 15 actual

Paige Bueckers · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 10 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 3 · both teams together expected to score about 178 points · odds to win: LVA 1.61, DAL 2.40

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:03 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 13:09 UTC

Who is out

Verona · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sat 22:00 UTC) · 6 min in the last game

Sims · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Sat 16:00 UTC) · 11, 15 and 10 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

LVA also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 16 of the 124 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Verona out (Sat 22:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Sims out (Sat 16:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Jewell Loyd · points 7.5 → 21 · 13.5 above the line · played 31.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.98

Chelsea Gray · points 11.5 → 0 · 11.5 below the line · played 29.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.98

Jackie Young · points 16.5 → 6 · 10.5 below the line · played 23.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Aziaha James · points 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 12 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.93

Arike Ogunbowale · points 14.5 → 22 · 7.5 above the line · played 30.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.99

Paige Bueckers · points 19.5 → 10 · 9.5 below the line · played 24.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.76

Azzi Fudd · points 13.5 → 19 · 5.5 above the line · played 28 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.95

A'ja Wilson · points 25.5 → 18 · 7.5 below the line · played 25.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.92

Jessica Shepard · points 12.5 → 15 · 2.5 above the line · played 30.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.07, Under 1.70

NaLyssa Smith · points 10.5 → 9 · 1.5 below the line · played 23.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.78

Stephanie Talbot · points 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.9 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs LVA · last 21 games · LVA leads · DAL record 5–16 · average score 84.0–91.0 · DAL has lost by 7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Jun · DAL 84 at LVA 99DAL lost

15 Jun · LVA 66 at DAL 96DAL won

28 May · LVA 87 at DAL 95DAL won

What each defense gives up per game

LVA gives up86.2 points · 33.5 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.5% of shots · 34.7% from three-point range · 13.1 opponent turnovers

DAL gives up86.0 points · 33.2 rebounds · 20.0 assists · 8.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 11.8 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LVA gives up 86.2 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

DAL gives up 86.0 points a game · 5th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LVA expected to win by 3.5, expected total 178.5 (Sun 21:44 UTC) and later LVA expected to win by 3, expected total 178 (Tue 00:03 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 32 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 120 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 129 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 13 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 143 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 147 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 153 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 94 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 312 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 920 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 191 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1163 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1120 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1440 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1442 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1464 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1495 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1517 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1519 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1573 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1584 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.