WNBA · Jun 15 gameAll props Full sheet

Portland Fire at Minnesota Lynx

FinalPOR 74 – MIN 107Page updated 15:39 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Portland Fire

Bridget Carleton · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 3 actual

Carla Leite · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 10 actual

Emily Engstler · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 9 actual

Luisa Geiselsoder · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 9 actual

Megan DiLeo · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 9 actual

Sarah Ashlee Barker · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 8 actual

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 16 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 14 actual

Natasha Howard · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 18 actual

Nia Coffey · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 15 actual

Olivia Miles · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 12 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 14 · both teams together expected to score about 168.5 points · odds to win: POR 8.75, MIN 1.09

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:03 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:39 UTC

Who is out

Cechova · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 16:00 UTC) · 11, 22 and 19 min in the last 3 games

King · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sat 20:45 UTC) · 9, 20 and 1 min in the last 3 games

Collier · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 21:45 UTC) · 33, 33 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Harrison · earlier listed as likely to play, now available (changed Wed 01:15 UTC) · 16, 23 and 6 min in the last 3 games

Samuelson · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Wed 23:45 UTC) · 19, 19 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

POR had 10 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 13 of the 146 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Cechova out (Sun 16:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: King out (Sat 20:45 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Collier out (Sun 21:45 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Harrison out (Wed 01:15 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Samuelson out (Wed 23:45 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Luisa Geiselsoder · points 4.5 → 9 · 4.5 above the line · played 14.9 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.98

Nia Coffey · points 7.5 → 15 · 7.5 above the line · played 21 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.01

Bridget Carleton · points 12.5 → 3 · 9.5 below the line · played 26.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.79

Olivia Miles · points 17.5 → 12 · 5.5 below the line · played 23 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.65

Megan DiLeo · points 12.5 → 9 · 3.5 below the line · played 16.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.94, Under —

Carla Leite · points 13.5 → 10 · 3.5 below the line · played 18.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.78

Sarah Ashlee Barker · points 9.5 → 8 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.74, Under —

Natasha Howard · points 16.5 → 18 · 1.5 above the line · played 26.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Emily Engstler · points 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 19.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.97, Under —

Kayla McBride · points 14.5 → 14 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.82

Courtney Williams · points 16.5 → 16 · 0.5 below the line · played 23.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.01, Under 1.75

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs POR · last 3 games · MIN leads · MIN record 3–0 · average score 97.7–82.7 · MIN has won by 15 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Aug · MIN 85 at POR 81MIN won

18 Jul · POR 93 at MIN 101MIN won

15 Jun · POR 74 at MIN 107MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

POR gives up91.0 points · 34.0 rebounds · 22.9 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.4% of shots · 35.0% from three-point range · 13.6 opponent turnovers

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

POR gives up 91.0 points a game · 13th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.8 vs average

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.2−3.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 14, expected total 169.5 (Mon 02:46 UTC) and later MIN expected to win by 14, expected total 168.5 (Tue 00:03 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 52 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 134 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 191 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 198 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 206 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 211 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 223 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 90 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 92 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 487 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 569 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 274 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 283 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 306 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 323 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 324 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 355 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 356 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 378 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 383 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 405 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1078 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1075 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1110 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1684 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1115 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1112 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1130 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1324 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1325 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.