WNBA · Finalupdated 14:00 UTC

Toronto Tempo vs Indiana Fever

at Indiana Fever

IND expected to win by about 8 · both teams together expected to score about 182 points · odds to win: TOR 3.82, IND 1.24

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference), Tue 23:30 UTC

TOR 91 – IND 113

Final

We had no picks in this game; every posted line is still scored below.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Explore every player and prop

How to read this page

A pick is a player line, for example Under 13.5 points, that we published before the game together with the price we found for it. We do not take bets.
Odds are shown in the decimal format: 1.93 means you get back 1.93 for every 1 staked, so a higher number pays more. The American format (−108 means risk 108 to win 100; +111 means risk 100 to win 111) appears only in the Data log at the bottom of the page.
'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; 'better' is a higher price for the same line at another bookmaker. Taking the better price is the one thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money.
'Market puts Under at 48.5%' is the chance implied by all bookmakers' prices together, with their built-in margin removed. Pinnacle is a bookmaker whose prices are widely treated as the most accurate reference, so it is the one we compare against.
A player's rate is how often that player has gone over the line this season, for example over in 41 of 78 games (52.6%), with a likely range such as 32–52%: fewer games means a wider range, and under 10 games we show no rate word at all.
'Past record stronger than the price' means the whole likely range sits above the chance the bookmakers' price implies; 'weaker' means below; 'agrees with the price' means the price sits inside the range, which is the usual case. None of these is a tip.
'Not measurable' is the usual honest answer: too few games to tell a real difference from chance.
'What could go wrong' lists the facts that can change a line: who is out, whether the starting lineup is confirmed, expected playing time (RotoWire's estimate, typically off by about 4 minutes), rest, and how many bookmakers price each line.
After the final, every pick is checked against the official stats and compared with the last price before the game started, the market's most informed price; getting a better price than that is the fairest test of a pick, whether or not it won. A tie means the player landed exactly on the line and the stake is returned; lines ending in .5 cannot tie.
Results are given for every 1 staked: 'would have returned +0.93' means a stake of 1 would have come back with 0.93 in profit. We do not stake anything; the record is what a stake of 1 on each pick would have done. Our record counts a smaller stake when the price advantage was small.
S beside a name marks an expected starter. Times are shown in your device's time zone; our data is recorded in US Eastern Time (ET). Team codes are the league's three-letter abbreviations.
'Your prediction' lets you pick Over or Under on any line before the game starts; we check your predictions the same way and keep your record, and one game of results proves nothing.
Team codes on this page: TOR = Toronto Tempo, IND = Indiana Fever.

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

Why the better price matters

In our past tests, simply taking the highest price offered for a line earned more than any of our own forecasts did.

In that test (25 Aug 2026), taking the best price returned about 2.8 more for every 100 staked than the price we posted did.

The players

12 players checked · 6 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games · 1 not checked

Rate: the share of this season's games in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 1 of 11 players has performed clearly differently and 0 show a slight hint · No starting lineup yet; showing every player with a line

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Toronto Tempoplaying IND

Brittney Sykes · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 11 actual

Isabelle Harrison · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 11 actual

Julie Allemand · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 0 actual

Laura Juskaite · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 19 actual

Maria Conde · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 12 actual

Marina Mabrey · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 18 actual

Indiana Feverplaying TOR

Aliyah Boston · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 18 actual

Caitlin Clark · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 21 actual

Kelsey Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 27 actual

Lexie Hull · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 6 actual

Monique Billings · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 7 actual

Myisha Hines-Allen · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 0 actual

Sophie Cunningham · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 24 actual

What could go wrong

updated 14:00 UTC

Who is out

Hall · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Fri 21:00 UTC) · 14, 2 and 1 min in the last 3 games

Rice · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Wed 21:00 UTC) · 31, 30 and 30 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

TOR had 8 days off before this game · IND also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 8 of the 167 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Hall out (Fri 21:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Rice out (Wed 21:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

What happened

In 3 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

13 other players with a posted line

Sophie Cunningham · points 7.5 → 24 · 16.5 above the line · played 23.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.00

Julie Allemand · points 5.5 → 0 · 5.5 below the line · played 10.8 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.08, Under 1.71

Laura Juskaite · points 9.5 → 19 · 9.5 above the line · played 24.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Myisha Hines-Allen · points 5.5 → 0 · 5.5 below the line · played 6.7 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.83

Maria Conde · points 7.5 → 12 · 4.5 above the line · played 31.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.87

Monique Billings · rebounds 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 19.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.80

Brittney Sykes · points 19.5 → 11 · 8.5 below the line · played 19.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Kelsey Mitchell · points 19.5 → 27 · 7.5 above the line · played 31.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.84

Aliyah Boston · points 15.5 → 18 · 2.5 above the line · played 26.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.06

Lexie Hull · points 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.10

Isabelle Harrison · points 10.5 → 11 · 0.5 above the line · played 26.3 min · no final price

Marina Mabrey · points 17.5 → 18 · 0.5 above the line · played 30.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.97

Caitlin Clark · points 20.5 → 21 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.80

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context

Head to head

IND vs TOR · last 3 games · IND leads · IND record 3–0 · average score 105.7–90.3 · IND has won by 15.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

18 Sep · IND 103 at TOR 85IND won

18 Aug · IND 101 at TOR 95IND won

16 Jun · TOR 91 at IND 113IND won

What each defense gives up per game

TOR gives up94.4 points · 34.5 rebounds · 22.6 assists · 9.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 47.8% of shots · 35.4% from three-point range · 12.1 opponent turnovers

IND gives up90.7 points · 31.9 rebounds · 20.8 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.2% of shots · 34.0% from three-point range · 12.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

TOR gives up 94.4 points a game · 15th of 15 · league average 87.2+7.2 vs average

IND gives up 90.7 points a game · 12th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 8.5, expected total 177.5 (Tue 02:17 UTC) and later IND expected to win by 8, expected total 182 (Tue 23:30 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

sds history (h2h)ok · 58 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 60 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 64 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 73 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 181 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 201 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 208 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 224 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 244 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 262 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 91 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 395 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 222 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 244 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 674 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 379 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 402 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 431 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 434 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 438 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 444 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 467 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 470 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 472 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 474 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 475 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 476 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 478 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 489 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 497 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1584 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1357 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1363 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1452 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1458 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1534 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1717 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1818 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1819 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1824 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1866 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.