WNBA · Jun 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Lynx at Los Angeles Sparks

FinalMIN 99 – LAS 83Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 2 availability alerts

Out Brink · earlier listed as unlikely to play

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Brink · earlier listed as unlikely to play · Sun 22:00 UTC · 24, 28 and 26 min in the last 3 games

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available · Wed 00:15 UTC · 4, 18 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 13 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 14 actual

Natasha Howard · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 15 actual

Nia Coffey · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 7 actual

Olivia Miles · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 31 actual

Los Angeles Sparks

Ariel Atkins · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 4 actual

Dearica Hamby · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 12 actual

Erica Wheeler · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Nneka Ogwumike · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 10 actual

Rae Burrell · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 19 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 8.5 · both teams together expected to score about 176.5 points · odds to win: MIN 1.28, LAS 3.44

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 02:13 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Out Brink · earlier listed as unlikely to play (changed Sun 22:00 UTC) · 24, 28 and 26 min in the last 3 games

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available (changed Wed 00:15 UTC) · 4, 18 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Cechova · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 16:00 UTC) · 11, 22 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Collier · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 21:45 UTC) · 33, 33 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

LAS had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 20 of the 183 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Brink out (Sun 22:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Carrington out (Wed 00:15 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Cechova out (Sun 16:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Collier out (Sun 21:45 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Olivia Miles · points 18.5 → 31 · 12.5 above the line · played 26 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.72

Rae Burrell · points 11.5 → 19 · 7.5 above the line · played 26.4 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.79

Ariel Atkins · points 9.5 → 4 · 5.5 below the line · played 29.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.00

Nneka Ogwumike · points 15.5 → 10 · 5.5 below the line · played 29.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.90

Erica Wheeler · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 24.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.85

Courtney Williams · points 15.5 → 13 · 2.5 below the line · played 25.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.02

Dearica Hamby · points 13.5 → 12 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.99

Natasha Howard · points 16.5 → 15 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.73, Under 2.03

Nia Coffey · points 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.92

Kayla McBride · points 14.5 → 14 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.83

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAS vs MIN · last 18 games · MIN leads · LAS record 3–15 · average score 76.0–83.4 · LAS has lost by 7.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Aug · LAS 89 at MIN 82LAS won

15 Jul · LAS 87 at MIN 96LAS lost

17 Jun · MIN 99 at LAS 83LAS lost

What each defense gives up per game

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

LAS gives up91.3 points · 35.5 rebounds · 22.2 assists · 8.9 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 47.2% of shots · 33.6% from three-point range · 13.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.2−3.3 vs average

LAS gives up 91.3 points a game · 14th of 15 · league average 87.2+4.1 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 9, expected total 176.5 (Wed 02:18 UTC) and later MIN expected to win by 8.5, expected total 176.5 (Thu 02:13 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 17 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 20 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 101 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 102 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 109 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 89 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 115 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 143 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 87 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 222 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 406 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 263 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 318 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 859 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1043 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 962 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 963 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 986 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 996 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1001 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1018 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.