WNBA · Jun 19 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Lynx at Golden State Valkyries

FinalMIN 81 – GSV 75Page updated 17:30 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available · Wed 00:15 UTC · 4, 18 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 21 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 17 actual

Maya Caldwell · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 0 actual

Natasha Howard · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 10 actual

Nia Coffey · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 22 actual

Olivia Miles · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 7 actual

Golden State Valkyries

Cecilia Zandalasini · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 23 actual

Gabby Williams · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 15 actual

Janelle Salaun · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 15 actual

Kayla Thornton · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 3 actual

Veronica Burton · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 2.5 · both teams together expected to score about 165 points · odds to win: MIN 1.67, GSV 2.28

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 01:42 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:30 UTC

Who is out

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available (changed Wed 00:15 UTC) · 4, 18 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Cechova · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 16:00 UTC) · 11, 22 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Collier · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 21:45 UTC) · 33, 33 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 14 of the 138 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Carrington out (Wed 00:15 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Cechova out (Sun 16:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Collier out (Sun 21:45 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Cecilia Zandalasini · points 7.5 → 23 · 15.5 above the line · played 27.3 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.79

Nia Coffey · points 7.5 → 22 · 14.5 above the line · played 32.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.82

Maya Caldwell · points 5.5 → 0 · 5.5 below the line · played 10.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.07, Under 1.72

Kayla Thornton · points 9.5 → 3 · 6.5 below the line · played 23.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Veronica Burton · points 12.5 → 5 · 7.5 below the line · played 24.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.96

Olivia Miles · points 16.5 → 7 · 9.5 below the line · played 32.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.99

Natasha Howard · points 15.5 → 10 · 5.5 below the line · played 27.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.17, Under 1.65

Courtney Williams · points 16.5 → 21 · 4.5 above the line · played 36.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.79

Kayla McBride · points 13.5 → 17 · 3.5 above the line · played 33.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Janelle Salaun · points 12.5 → 15 · 2.5 above the line · played 24.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.99

Gabby Williams · points 15.5 → 15 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.78

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSV vs MIN · last 10 games · MIN leads · GSV record 1–9 · average score 72.2–80.5 · GSV has lost by 8.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

24 Aug · GSV 80 at MIN 66GSV won

19 Aug · MIN 77 at GSV 66GSV lost

19 Jun · MIN 81 at GSV 75GSV lost

4 Jun · GSV 84 at MIN 87GSV lost

17 Sep · MIN 75 at GSV 74GSV lost

14 Sep · GSV 72 at MIN 101GSV lost

11 Sep · GSV 53 at MIN 72GSV lost

What each defense gives up per game

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

GSV gives up75.9 points · 32.5 rebounds · 18.3 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 41.7% of shots · 33.0% from three-point range · 13.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.2−3.3 vs average

GSV gives up 75.9 points a game · 1st of 15 · league average 87.2−11.2 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 2.5, expected total 167 (Fri 02:02 UTC) and later MIN expected to win by 2.5, expected total 165 (Sat 01:42 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 13 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 89 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 115 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 119 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 120 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 122 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 126 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 85 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 228 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 97 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 412 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 429 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 101 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 102 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3009 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3037 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3133 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 3722 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3451 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3452 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3492 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3568 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3651 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3786 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3854 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.