WNBA · Jun 19 gameAll props Full sheet

Washington Mystics at New York Liberty

FinalWAS 86 – NYL 83Page updated 15:39 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Washington Mystics

Georgia Amoore · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 10 actual

Kiki Iriafen · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 20 actual

Michaela Onyenwere · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 11 actual

Shakira Austin · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 14 actual

Sonia Citron · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 16 actual

New York Liberty

Breanna Stewart · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 16 actual

Jonquel Jones · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 10 actual

Leonie Fiebich · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 19 actual

Marine Johannes · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 4 actual

Sabrina Ionescu · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 9 actual

Satou Sabally · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 13 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYL expected to win by about 12.5 · both teams together expected to score about 168.5 points · odds to win: WAS 6.58, NYL 1.13

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 23:28 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:39 UTC

Who is out

Maley · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Fri 21:00 UTC) · 3, 5 and 8 min in the last 3 games

Fauthoux · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Mon 04:40 UTC) · 3, 17 and 8 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 12 of the 124 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Maley out (Fri 21:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Fauthoux out (Mon 04:40 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Leonie Fiebich · points 6.5 → 19 · 12.5 above the line · played 31.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.06, Under 1.73

Kiki Iriafen · points 12.5 → 20 · 7.5 above the line · played 27.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.97

Georgia Amoore · points 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 27.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Marine Johannes · points 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 27 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83

Sabrina Ionescu · points 14.5 → 9 · 5.5 below the line · played 30.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.74

Jonquel Jones · points 13.5 → 10 · 3.5 below the line · played 32.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.85

Breanna Stewart · points 19.5 → 16 · 3.5 below the line · played 32 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.74

Michaela Onyenwere · points 9.5 → 11 · 1.5 above the line · played 28.3 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.92

Satou Sabally · points 11.5 → 13 · 1.5 above the line · played 16.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.76

Shakira Austin · points 13.5 → 14 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.85

Sonia Citron · points 16.5 → 16 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.01, Under 1.75

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NYL vs WAS · last 20 games · NYL leads · NYL record 16–4 · average score 84.7–77.5 · NYL has won by 7.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

19 Jun · WAS 86 at NYL 83NYL lost

14 Jun · WAS 64 at NYL 86NYL won

What each defense gives up per game

WAS gives up83.2 points · 30.0 rebounds · 19.8 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.1% of shots · 32.9% from three-point range · 11.9 opponent turnovers

NYL gives up86.0 points · 31.3 rebounds · 21.3 assists · 9.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.7% of shots · 34.4% from three-point range · 10.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

WAS gives up 83.2 points a game · 2nd of 15 · league average 87.2−4.0 vs average

NYL gives up 86.0 points a game · 6th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NYL expected to win by 12, expected total 167.5 (Fri 01:29 UTC) and later NYL expected to win by 12.5, expected total 168.5 (Fri 23:28 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 149 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 358 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 361 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 366 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 372 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 374 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 375 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 378 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 388 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 392 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 400 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 403 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 405 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 91 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 695 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 719 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 59 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 222 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 243 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 248 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1479 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1255 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1298 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1315 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1462 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1487 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1559 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1582 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1647 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1650 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1655 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1738 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.