WNBA · Finalupdated 18:14 UTC

Chicago Sky vs Dallas Wings

at Dallas Wings

DAL expected to win by about 4.5 · both teams together expected to score about 177 points · odds to win: CHI 2.55, DAL 1.53

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference), Sun 00:30 UTC

CHI 92 – DAL 93

Final

We had no picks in this game; every posted line is still scored below.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Explore every player and prop

How to read this page

A pick is a player line, for example Under 13.5 points, that we published before the game together with the price we found for it. We do not take bets.
Odds are shown in the decimal format: 1.93 means you get back 1.93 for every 1 staked, so a higher number pays more. The American format (−108 means risk 108 to win 100; +111 means risk 100 to win 111) appears only in the Data log at the bottom of the page.
'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; 'better' is a higher price for the same line at another bookmaker. Taking the better price is the one thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money.
'Market puts Under at 48.5%' is the chance implied by all bookmakers' prices together, with their built-in margin removed. Pinnacle is a bookmaker whose prices are widely treated as the most accurate reference, so it is the one we compare against.
A player's rate is how often that player has gone over the line this season, for example over in 41 of 78 games (52.6%), with a likely range such as 32–52%: fewer games means a wider range, and under 10 games we show no rate word at all.
'Past record stronger than the price' means the whole likely range sits above the chance the bookmakers' price implies; 'weaker' means below; 'agrees with the price' means the price sits inside the range, which is the usual case. None of these is a tip.
'Not measurable' is the usual honest answer: too few games to tell a real difference from chance.
'What could go wrong' lists the facts that can change a line: who is out, whether the starting lineup is confirmed, expected playing time (RotoWire's estimate, typically off by about 4 minutes), rest, and how many bookmakers price each line.
After the final, every pick is checked against the official stats and compared with the last price before the game started, the market's most informed price; getting a better price than that is the fairest test of a pick, whether or not it won. A tie means the player landed exactly on the line and the stake is returned; lines ending in .5 cannot tie.
Results are given for every 1 staked: 'would have returned +0.93' means a stake of 1 would have come back with 0.93 in profit. We do not stake anything; the record is what a stake of 1 on each pick would have done. Our record counts a smaller stake when the price advantage was small.
S beside a name marks an expected starter. Times are shown in your device's time zone; our data is recorded in US Eastern Time (ET). Team codes are the league's three-letter abbreviations.
'Your prediction' lets you pick Over or Under on any line before the game starts; we check your predictions the same way and keep your record, and one game of results proves nothing.
Team codes on this page: CHI = Chicago Sky, DAL = Dallas Wings.

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

Why the better price matters

In our past tests, simply taking the highest price offered for a line earned more than any of our own forecasts did.

In that test (25 Aug 2026), taking the best price returned about 2.8 more for every 100 staked than the price we posted did.

The players

12 players checked · 6 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games · 1 not checked

Rate: the share of this season's games in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 0 of 12 players have performed clearly differently and 5 show a slight hint · No starting lineup yet; showing every player with a line

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Chicago Skyplaying DAL

Azura Stevens · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 8 actual

Elizabeth Williams · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 4 actual

Gabriela Jaquez · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 6 actual

Kamilla Cardoso · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 26 actual

Natasha Cloud · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 10 actual

Skylar Diggins · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 14 actual

Sydney Taylor · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 18 actual

Dallas Wingsplaying CHI

Alanna Smith · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 3 actual

Arike Ogunbowale · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 12 actual

Awak Kuier · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 3 actual

Azzi Fudd · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 13 actual

Jessica Shepard · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 21 actual

Paige Bueckers · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 8 actual

What could go wrong

updated 18:14 UTC

Who is out

Clark · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sat 23:30 UTC) · 31, 19 and 3 min in the last 3 games

Sims · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Sat 16:00 UTC) · 11, 15 and 10 min in the last 3 games

Out Coulibaly · earlier listed as may not play (changed Tue 23:00 UTC) · 15, 15 and 13 min in the last 3 games

Out Vandersloot · right knee · CHI

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

CHI had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 16 of the 162 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Clark out (Sat 23:30 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Sims out (Sat 16:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Coulibaly out (Tue 23:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Vandersloot out · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

What happened

In 2 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

13 other players with a posted line

Kamilla Cardoso · points 11.5 → 26 · 14.5 above the line · played 28.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Paige Bueckers · assists 4.5 → 8 · 3.5 above the line · played 35.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.20

Sydney Taylor · points 10.5 → 18 · 7.5 above the line · played 24.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.80

Jessica Shepard · points 12.5 → 21 · 8.5 above the line · played 34.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.07

Awak Kuier · points 7.5 → 3 · 4.5 below the line · played 14 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Gabriela Jaquez · points 9.5 → 6 · 3.5 below the line · played 25.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Alanna Smith · points 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 4.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.74

Azura Stevens · points 11.5 → 8 · 3.5 below the line · played 28.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.75

Elizabeth Williams · points 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 11 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.01

Arike Ogunbowale · points 14.5 → 12 · 2.5 below the line · played 32.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.96

Azzi Fudd · points 11.5 → 13 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.07

Skylar Diggins · points 15.5 → 14 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.11, Under 1.68

Natasha Cloud · points 9.5 → 10 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context

Head to head

DAL vs CHI · last 16 games · CHI leads · DAL record 5–11 · average score 85.6–90.3 · DAL has lost by 4.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Jul · CHI 91 at DAL 96DAL won

20 Jun · CHI 92 at DAL 93DAL won

20 May · DAL 99 at CHI 89DAL won

What each defense gives up per game

CHI gives up90.7 points · 37.1 rebounds · 20.7 assists · 8.2 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.8% from three-point range · 12.9 opponent turnovers

DAL gives up86.0 points · 33.2 rebounds · 20.0 assists · 8.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 11.8 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

CHI gives up 90.7 points a game · 11th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

DAL gives up 86.0 points a game · 5th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 9, expected total 169.5 (Sat 00:02 UTC) and later DAL expected to win by 4.5, expected total 177 (Sun 00:30 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 39 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 43 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 59 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 67 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 68 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 74 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 120 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 123 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 125 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 189 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 202 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 440 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 466 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 356 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 360 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 361 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 364 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 367 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 369 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 371 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 374 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 378 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 385 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 392 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 393 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 399 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 413 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 416 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 422 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 424 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 434 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 439 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 441 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 449 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 451 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 456 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 509 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1008 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 670 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 701 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 809 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 877 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 886 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1021 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1044 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1049 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1052 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1050 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1055 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.