WNBA · Jun 20 gameAll props Full sheet

Seattle Storm at Phoenix Mercury

FinalSEA 73 – PHO 93Page updated 16:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Nogic · PHO

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Nogic · PHO

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Seattle Storm

Awa Fam · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 5 actual

Dominique Malonga · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 10 actual

Flau'jae Johnson · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 13 actual

Jade Melbourne · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Natisha Hiedeman · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 20 actual

Phoenix Mercury

Alyssa Thomas · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 8 actual

Kahleah Copper · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 17 actual

Natasha Mack · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 10 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

PHO expected to win by about 7 · both teams together expected to score about 163 points · odds to win: SEA 3.23, PHO 1.37

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 19:02 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:28 UTC

Who is out

Suarez · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Thu 00:00 UTC) · 15, 10 and 4 min in the last 3 games

Horston · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 18:15 UTC) · 21, 19 and 13 min in the last 3 games

Out Nogic · PHO

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

SEA had 9 days off before this game · PHO had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 14 of the 98 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Nogic out · played

Flagged before the game: Suarez out (Thu 00:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Horston out (Sun 18:15 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Jade Melbourne · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 10.8 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.10

Awa Fam · points 10.5 → 5 · 5.5 below the line · played 30.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.81

Alyssa Thomas · points 15.5 → 8 · 7.5 below the line · played 28.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.06, Under 1.71

Natisha Hiedeman · points 14.5 → 20 · 5.5 above the line · played 28 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Dominique Malonga · points 15.5 → 10 · 5.5 below the line · played 22.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.00

Flau'jae Johnson · points 10.5 → 13 · 2.5 above the line · played 33.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.01

Kahleah Copper · points 20.5 → 17 · 3.5 below the line · played 26.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.90

Natasha Mack · points 9.5 → 10 · 0.5 above the line · played 22.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.03, Under 1.74

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

PHO vs SEA · last 18 games · PHO leads · PHO record 9–9 · average score 78.8–79.4 · PHO has lost by 0.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

2 Jul · SEA 67 at PHO 90PHO won

20 Jun · SEA 73 at PHO 93PHO won

3 Jun · PHO 72 at SEA 68PHO won

What each defense gives up per game

SEA gives up88.9 points · 36.3 rebounds · 21.1 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.0% of shots · 32.7% from three-point range · 12.8 opponent turnovers

PHO gives up87.6 points · 34.0 rebounds · 21.5 assists · 9.7 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.4% of shots · 36.1% from three-point range · 12.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

SEA gives up 88.9 points a game · 10th of 15 · league average 87.2+1.8 vs average

PHO gives up 87.6 points a game · 8th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had PHO expected to win by 7.5, expected total 161 (Fri 23:28 UTC) and later PHO expected to win by 7, expected total 163 (Sat 19:02 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 47 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 172 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 181 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 183 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 186 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 187 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 19 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 412 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 412 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 493 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 225 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 761 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 679 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 679 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 699 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 706 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 707 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 708 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 791 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.