WNBA · Jun 21 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Valkyries at Las Vegas Aces

FinalGSV 73 – LVA 92Page updated 18:19 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 2 availability alerts

Out Evans · earlier listed as available

Out Carter · n/a · LVA

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Evans · earlier listed as available · Thu 19:30 UTC · 15, 4 and 14 min in the last 3 games

Out Carter · n/a · LVA

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Valkyries

Cecilia Zandalasini · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 12 actual

Gabby Williams · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 10 actual

Janelle Salaun · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 5 actual

Kayla Thornton · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 2 actual

Kiah Stokes · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual

Veronica Burton · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 2 actual

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

points 25.5 → 19 actual

Chelsea Gray · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 15 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 21 actual

Jewell Loyd · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 14 actual

NaLyssa Smith · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 14 actual

Stephanie Talbot · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 10.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 3 · both teams together expected to score about 167 points · odds to win: GSV 2.40, LVA 1.61

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 19:56 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:19 UTC

Who is out

Out Evans · earlier listed as available (changed Thu 19:30 UTC) · 15, 4 and 14 min in the last 3 games

Prechtel · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Tue 21:00 UTC) · 4, 5 and 2 min in the last 3 games

Out Carter · n/a · LVA

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

LVA also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 16 of the 105 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Carter out · played

Flagged before the game: Evans out (Thu 19:30 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Prechtel out (Tue 21:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 7 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Jewell Loyd · points 7.5 → 14 · 6.5 above the line · played 22.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.73, Under 2.03

Veronica Burton · points 11.5 → 2 · 9.5 below the line · played 16.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.05

Kayla Thornton · points 9.5 → 2 · 7.5 below the line · played 19.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.90

Janelle Salaun · points 13.5 → 5 · 8.5 below the line · played 18.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.82

Stephanie Talbot · points + rebounds + assists 10.5 → 4 · 6.5 below the line · played 21 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.01

NaLyssa Smith · points 9.5 → 14 · 4.5 above the line · played 27 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Kiah Stokes · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 20.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.41, Under 1.54

Cecilia Zandalasini · points 8.5 → 12 · 3.5 above the line · played 20.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Gabby Williams · points 15.5 → 10 · 5.5 below the line · played 21.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.01

Chelsea Gray · points 11.5 → 15 · 3.5 above the line · played 31.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.80

Jackie Young · points 16.5 → 21 · 4.5 above the line · played 32.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.94

A'ja Wilson · points 25.5 → 19 · 6.5 below the line · played 31 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.96

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LVA vs GSV · last 7 games · LVA leads · LVA record 6–1 · average score 88.3–82.7 · LVA has won by 5.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

21 Jun · GSV 73 at LVA 92LVA won

6 Jun · GSV 79 at LVA 84LVA won

31 May · LVA 91 at GSV 81LVA won

What each defense gives up per game

GSV gives up75.9 points · 32.5 rebounds · 18.3 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 41.7% of shots · 33.0% from three-point range · 13.6 opponent turnovers

LVA gives up86.2 points · 33.5 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.5% of shots · 34.7% from three-point range · 13.1 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

GSV gives up 75.9 points a game · 1st of 15 · league average 87.2−11.2 vs average

LVA gives up 86.2 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LVA expected to win by 4, expected total 168 (Sun 03:49 UTC) and later LVA expected to win by 3, expected total 167 (Sun 19:56 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 44 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 53 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 246 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 248 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 276 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 295 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 346 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 379 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 222 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 549 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 297 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 377 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 379 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 380 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 558 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 565 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 614 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 728 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 732 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 737 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 742 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 750 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 756 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 758 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 760 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 772 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 782 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 784 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 788 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 791 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 839 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 848 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1955 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1954 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1956 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1963 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2052 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2075 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2077 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 2213 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2289 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2289 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2291 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.