WNBA · Jun 21 gameAll props Full sheet

Washington Mystics at Minnesota Lynx

FinalWAS 84 – MIN 79Page updated 18:19 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 2 availability alerts

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available

Out Joklova · MIN

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available · Wed 00:15 UTC · 4, 18 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Out Joklova · MIN

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Washington Mystics

Georgia Amoore · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 8 actual

Kiki Iriafen · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 17 actual

Lauren Betts · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Michaela Onyenwere · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 5 actual

Shakira Austin · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 7 actual

Sonia Citron · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 21 actual

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 13 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 12 actual

Natasha Howard · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 20 actual

Nia Coffey · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 5 actual

Olivia Miles · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 22 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 14 · both teams together expected to score about 169.5 points · odds to win: WAS 7.63, MIN 1.11

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 22:10 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:19 UTC

Who is out

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available (changed Wed 00:15 UTC) · 4, 18 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Cechova · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 16:00 UTC) · 11, 22 and 19 min in the last 3 games

King · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sat 20:45 UTC) · 9, 20 and 1 min in the last 3 games

Collier · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 21:45 UTC) · 33, 33 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Out Joklova · MIN

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 15 of the 130 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Carrington out (Wed 00:15 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Joklova out · played

Flagged before the game: Cechova out (Sun 16:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: King out (Sat 20:45 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Collier out (Sun 21:45 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Shakira Austin · points 13.5 → 7 · 6.5 below the line · played 22.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.08, Under 1.69

Michaela Onyenwere · points 9.5 → 5 · 4.5 below the line · played 22.5 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Lauren Betts · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 17.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.28, Under 1.60

Nia Coffey · points 8.5 → 5 · 3.5 below the line · played 31.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.86, Under 1.88

Kiki Iriafen · points 12.5 → 17 · 4.5 above the line · played 24.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.97

Sonia Citron · points 15.5 → 21 · 5.5 above the line · played 33.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.84

Natasha Howard · points 15.5 → 20 · 4.5 above the line · played 36.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.86

Olivia Miles · points 17.5 → 22 · 4.5 above the line · played 32.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.89

Georgia Amoore · points 6.5 → 8 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Courtney Williams · points 16.5 → 13 · 3.5 below the line · played 31.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.88

Kayla McBride · points 13.5 → 12 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.89

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs WAS · last 16 games · MIN leads · MIN record 10–6 · average score 78.0–76.8 · MIN has won by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

21 Aug · MIN 94 at WAS 84MIN won

24 Jun · MIN 78 at WAS 76MIN won

21 Jun · WAS 84 at MIN 79MIN lost

What each defense gives up per game

WAS gives up83.2 points · 30.0 rebounds · 19.8 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.1% of shots · 32.9% from three-point range · 11.9 opponent turnovers

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

WAS gives up 83.2 points a game · 2nd of 15 · league average 87.2−4.0 vs average

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.2−3.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 13.5, expected total 168 (Sun 01:37 UTC) and later MIN expected to win by 14, expected total 169.5 (Sun 22:10 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 54 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 59 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 60 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 63 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 68 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 148 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 162 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 27 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 225 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 258 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 263 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 155 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 442 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 448 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 347 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 352 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 356 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 358 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 378 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 380 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 386 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 388 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 390 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 643 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 645 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 647 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 649 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 650 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 652 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 655 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 657 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 658 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 660 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1241 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1167 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1222 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1241 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1245 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1247 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1326 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1367 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1467 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1504 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1525 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.