WNBA · Jun 22 gameAll props Full sheet

Phoenix Mercury at Indiana Fever

FinalPHO 77 – IND 86Page updated 18:19 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Phoenix Mercury

Alyssa Thomas · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 19 actual

Kahleah Copper · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 20 actual

Natasha Mack · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 7 actual

Indiana Fever

Aliyah Boston · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 8 actual

Caitlin Clark · minutes unknown

points 21.5 → 24 actual

Kelsey Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 22 actual

Monique Billings · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 10 actual

Sophie Cunningham · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 7.5 · both teams together expected to score about 178 points · odds to win: PHO 3.57, IND 1.32

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 23:58 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:19 UTC

Who is out

Hall · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Fri 21:00 UTC) · 14, 2 and 1 min in the last 3 games

Suarez · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Thu 00:00 UTC) · 15, 10 and 4 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

PHO had 8 days off before this game · IND also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 12 of the 89 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Hall out (Fri 21:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Suarez out (Thu 00:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Monique Billings · rebounds 3.5 → 10 · 6.5 above the line · played 28.5 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.62, Under 2.22

Sophie Cunningham · points 9.5 → 2 · 7.5 below the line · played 26.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Aliyah Boston · points 16.5 → 8 · 8.5 below the line · played 29.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.74

Alyssa Thomas · points 14.5 → 19 · 4.5 above the line · played 34.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.92

Natasha Mack · rebounds 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.17, Under 1.64

Kelsey Mitchell · points 19.5 → 22 · 2.5 above the line · played 32 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.92

Caitlin Clark · points 21.5 → 24 · 2.5 above the line · played 28.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.72

Kahleah Copper · points 19.5 → 20 · 0.5 above the line · played 30.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs PHO · last 16 games · IND leads · IND record 8–8 · average score 83.9–87.8 · IND has lost by 3.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Jul · IND 92 at PHO 89IND won

24 Jun · PHO 111 at IND 109IND lost

22 Jun · PHO 77 at IND 86IND won

What each defense gives up per game

PHO gives up87.6 points · 34.0 rebounds · 21.5 assists · 9.7 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.4% of shots · 36.1% from three-point range · 12.9 opponent turnovers

IND gives up90.7 points · 31.9 rebounds · 20.8 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.2% of shots · 34.0% from three-point range · 12.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

PHO gives up 87.6 points a game · 8th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

IND gives up 90.7 points a game · 12th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 6, expected total 176.5 (Mon 01:30 UTC) and later IND expected to win by 7.5, expected total 178 (Mon 23:58 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 168 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 171 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 276 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 274 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 279 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 282 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 283 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 292 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 333 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 59 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 60 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 108 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 442 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 202 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1204 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 922 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 964 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 972 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 982 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 993 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1060 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1113 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1146 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.