WNBA · Jun 28 gameAll props Full sheet

Las Vegas Aces at Chicago Sky

FinalLVA 107 – CHI 99Page updated 23:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Evans · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Evans · earlier listed as available · Thu 19:30 UTC · 15, 4 and 14 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

points 25.5 → 30 actual

Chelsea Gray · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 18 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 28 actual

Jewell Loyd · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 6 actual

NaLyssa Smith · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 6 actual

Chicago Sky

Azura Stevens · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 24 actual

Gabriela Jaquez · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 2 actual

Kamilla Cardoso · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 24 actual

Natasha Cloud · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 6 actual

Skylar Diggins · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 7 actual

Sydney Taylor · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 14 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 7.5 · both teams together expected to score about 180 points · odds to win: LVA 1.32, CHI 3.56

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 18:51 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 23:45 UTC

Who is out

Westbeld · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Mon 22:00 UTC) · 13, 14 and 9 min in the last 3 games

Out Evans · earlier listed as available (changed Thu 19:30 UTC) · 15, 4 and 14 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

LVA also played the day before this game · CHI had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 14 of the 104 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Westbeld out (Mon 22:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Evans out (Thu 19:30 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Azura Stevens · points 10.5 → 24 · 13.5 above the line · played 29.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.89

Kamilla Cardoso · points 12.5 → 24 · 11.5 above the line · played 29.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.76

Gabriela Jaquez · points 8.5 → 2 · 6.5 below the line · played 12.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.03

Jackie Young · points 17.5 → 28 · 10.5 above the line · played 36.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.84

Skylar Diggins · points 14.5 → 7 · 7.5 below the line · played 28.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.92

Chelsea Gray · points 12.5 → 18 · 5.5 above the line · played 34.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.72

NaLyssa Smith · points 10.5 → 6 · 4.5 below the line · played 13.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.86, Under 1.88

Jewell Loyd · points 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.95

Natasha Cloud · points 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 22.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.83

A'ja Wilson · points 25.5 → 30 · 4.5 above the line · played 34 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.92

Sydney Taylor · points 14.5 → 14 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.5 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CHI vs LVA · last 18 games · LVA leads · CHI record 3–15 · average score 80.3–90.3 · CHI has lost by 10.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Aug · LVA 83 at CHI 84CHI won

3 Jul · CHI 90 at LVA 98CHI lost

28 Jun · LVA 107 at CHI 99CHI lost

9 Sep · CHI 61 at LVA 92CHI lost

7 Sep · CHI 66 at LVA 80CHI lost

What each defense gives up per game

LVA gives up86.2 points · 33.5 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.5% of shots · 34.7% from three-point range · 13.1 opponent turnovers

CHI gives up90.7 points · 37.1 rebounds · 20.7 assists · 8.2 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.8% from three-point range · 12.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LVA gives up 86.2 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

CHI gives up 90.7 points a game · 11th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LVA expected to win by 7.5, expected total 178.5 (Sun 03:31 UTC) and later LVA expected to win by 7.5, expected total 180 (Sun 18:51 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 36 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 42 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 43 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 47 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 130 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 139 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 100 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 145 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 32 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 33 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 51 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 269 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 286 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 293 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 298 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 302 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 305 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 524 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 920 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 926 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 989 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1197 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1030 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1049 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1349 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1348 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1357 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1356 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1357 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.