WNBA · Jun 28 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Lynx at Dallas Wings

FinalMIN 85 – DAL 77Page updated 23:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 3 availability alerts

Out Smith · earlier listed as available

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available

Out Joklova · MIN

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Smith · earlier listed as available · Wed 23:30 UTC · 17, 24 and 22 min in the last 3 games

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available · Wed 00:15 UTC · 4, 18 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Out Joklova · MIN

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 12 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 17 actual

Natasha Howard · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 21 actual

Nia Brodie · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 8 actual

Olivia Miles · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 21 actual

Dallas Wings

Arike Ogunbowale · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 5 actual

Azzi Fudd · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 21 actual

Jessica Shepard · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 8 actual

Paige Bueckers · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 25 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 3 · both teams together expected to score about 178.5 points · odds to win: MIN 1.63, DAL 2.35

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 16:44 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 23:45 UTC

Who is out

Out Smith · earlier listed as available (changed Wed 23:30 UTC) · 17, 24 and 22 min in the last 3 games

Verona · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sat 22:00 UTC) · 6 min in the last game

Sims · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Sat 16:00 UTC) · 11, 15 and 10 min in the last 3 games

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available (changed Wed 00:15 UTC) · 4, 18 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Cechova · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 16:00 UTC) · 11, 22 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Collier · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 21:45 UTC) · 33, 33 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Out Joklova · MIN

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 11 of the 112 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Smith out (Wed 23:30 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Verona out (Sat 22:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Sims out (Sat 16:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Carrington out (Wed 00:15 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Joklova out · played

Flagged before the game: Cechova out (Sun 16:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Collier out (Sun 21:45 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Arike Ogunbowale · points 13.5 → 5 · 8.5 below the line · played 25.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.01

Nia Brodie · rebounds 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.22

Azzi Fudd · points 14.5 → 21 · 6.5 above the line · played 37.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.76

Jessica Shepard · points 13.5 → 8 · 5.5 below the line · played 34.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.78

Paige Bueckers · points 19.5 → 25 · 5.5 above the line · played 36.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.79

Natasha Howard · points 16.5 → 21 · 4.5 above the line · played 35.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.78

Courtney Williams · points 15.5 → 12 · 3.5 below the line · played 36.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.98

Kayla McBride · points 14.5 → 17 · 2.5 above the line · played 38.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Olivia Miles · points 18.5 → 21 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.94

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs MIN · last 19 games · MIN leads · DAL record 6–13 · average score 83.7–88.1 · DAL has lost by 4.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Aug · DAL 90 at MIN 103DAL lost

28 Jun · MIN 85 at DAL 77DAL lost

9 Jun · DAL 76 at MIN 100DAL lost

14 May · MIN 90 at DAL 86DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

DAL gives up86.0 points · 33.2 rebounds · 20.0 assists · 8.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 11.8 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.2−3.3 vs average

DAL gives up 86.0 points a game · 5th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 4, expected total 177.5 (Sun 02:27 UTC) and later MIN expected to win by 3, expected total 178.5 (Sun 16:44 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 80 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 81 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 89 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 93 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 95 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 185 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 214 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 248 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 67 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 284 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 432 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 89 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 570 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 651 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 87 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 322 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 330 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 335 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 352 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 367 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 371 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 384 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 397 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 399 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 424 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1366 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1500 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1501 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1511 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1618 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1620 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1640 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1664 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1744 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1750 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.