WNBA · Jun 30 gameAll props Full sheet

Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty

FinalLVA 85 – NYL 93Page updated 01:40 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Evans · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Evans · earlier listed as available · Thu 19:30 UTC · 15, 4 and 14 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Las Vegas Aces

Chelsea Gray · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 7 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 31 actual

Jewell Loyd · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 5 actual

NaLyssa Smith · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 9 actual

A'ja Wilson · Out · right leg

points 24.5 → no final stat available

New York Liberty

Breanna Stewart · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 25 actual

Jonquel Jones · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 9 actual

Leonie Fiebich · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 2 actual

Marine Johannes · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 7 actual

Pauline Astier · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 15 actual

Sabrina Ionescu · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 26 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYL expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 174 points · odds to win: LVA 3.02, NYL 1.41

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 21:32 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 01:40 UTC

Who is out

Sabally · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Thu 22:00 UTC) · 8, 27 and 17 min in the last 3 games

Wilson · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Sat 02:15 UTC) · 37, 34 and 35 min in the last 3 games

Out Evans · earlier listed as available (changed Thu 19:30 UTC) · 15, 4 and 14 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 24 of the 222 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Sabally out (Thu 22:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Wilson out (Sat 02:15 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Evans out (Thu 19:30 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Pauline Astier · points 7.5 → 15 · 7.5 above the line · played 31.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.95

Sabrina Ionescu · points 14.5 → 26 · 11.5 above the line · played 31.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.06, Under 1.70

Leonie Fiebich · points 9.5 → 2 · 7.5 below the line · played 33.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.97

Jackie Young · points 18.5 → 31 · 12.5 above the line · played 36.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Chelsea Gray · points 11.5 → 7 · 4.5 below the line · played 35.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.76

Jonquel Jones · points 14.5 → 9 · 5.5 below the line · played 32.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 2.02

Jewell Loyd · points 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 31.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.97

Breanna Stewart · points 19.5 → 25 · 5.5 above the line · played 34.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.82

NaLyssa Smith · points 10.5 → 9 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.78

Marine Johannes · points 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 18.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.23, Under —

A'ja Wilson · points 24.5 → no final stat available · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.86

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NYL vs LVA · last 25 games · NYL leads · NYL record 15–10 · average score 87.0–84.5 · NYL has won by 2.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Aug · LVA 71 at NYL 111NYL won

30 Jul · NYL 99 at LVA 104NYL lost

30 Jun · LVA 85 at NYL 93NYL won

23 Jun · NYL 87 at LVA 76NYL won

What each defense gives up per game

LVA gives up86.2 points · 33.5 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.5% of shots · 34.7% from three-point range · 13.1 opponent turnovers

NYL gives up86.0 points · 31.3 rebounds · 21.3 assists · 9.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.7% of shots · 34.4% from three-point range · 10.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LVA gives up 86.2 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

NYL gives up 86.0 points a game · 6th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NYL expected to win by 2, expected total 176 (Tue 03:20 UTC) and later NYL expected to win by 6.5, expected total 174 (Tue 21:32 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 90 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 93 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 107 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 130 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 131 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 140 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 144 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 318 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 322 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 325 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 220 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 27 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 520 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 164 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 690 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 260 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 294 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 301 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 307 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 345 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 349 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1071 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1525 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1620 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1662 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1674 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1685 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1721 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1720 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1723 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1733 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1757 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1759 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.