WNBA · Jul 2 gameAll props Full sheet

Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics

FinalATL 76 – WAS 81Page updated 03:38 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Jones · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Jones · earlier listed as available · Sat 21:00 UTC · 5, 20 and 22 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Atlanta Dream

Allisha Gray · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 17 actual

Angel Reese · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 13 actual

Jordin Canada · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 10 actual

Naz Hillmon · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 5 actual

Rhyne Howard · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 24 actual

Washington Mystics

Kiki Iriafen · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 14 actual

Michaela Onyenwere · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 4 actual

Shakira Austin · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 21 actual

Sonia Citron · Out · right knee

points 17.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

ATL expected to win by about 7 · both teams together expected to score about 167.5 points · odds to win: ATL 1.31, WAS 3.62

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 22:00 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 03:38 UTC

Who is out

Citron · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sat 20:15 UTC) · 38, 35 and 28 min in the last 3 games

Out Jones · earlier listed as available (changed Sat 21:00 UTC) · 5, 20 and 22 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 14 of the 108 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Citron out (Sat 20:15 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Jones out (Sat 21:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Shakira Austin · points 12.5 → 21 · 8.5 above the line · played 29.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.78

Michaela Onyenwere · points 9.5 → 4 · 5.5 below the line · played 23.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Naz Hillmon · points 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 25.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Rhyne Howard · points 18.5 → 24 · 5.5 above the line · played 38.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Angel Reese · points 14.5 → 13 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.97

Jordin Canada · points 10.5 → 10 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.96

Kiki Iriafen · points 14.5 → 14 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.90

Allisha Gray · points 17.5 → 17 · 0.5 below the line · played 33 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Sonia Citron · points 17.5 → no final stat available · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.85

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

WAS vs ATL · last 21 games · ATL leads · WAS record 10–11 · average score 80.1–81.1 · WAS has lost by 1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Sep · ATL 93 at WAS 75WAS lost

27 Sep · WAS 77 at ATL 92WAS lost

7 Aug · ATL 74 at WAS 79WAS won

2 Jul · ATL 76 at WAS 81WAS won

6 Jun · WAS 77 at ATL 109WAS lost

What each defense gives up per game

ATL gives up84.1 points · 31.6 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.6% of shots · 34.7% from three-point range · 15.6 opponent turnovers

WAS gives up83.2 points · 30.0 rebounds · 19.8 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.1% of shots · 32.9% from three-point range · 11.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

ATL gives up 84.1 points a game · 4th of 15 · league average 87.2−3.1 vs average

WAS gives up 83.2 points a game · 2nd of 15 · league average 87.2−4.0 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had ATL expected to win by 7, expected total 165.5 (Thu 01:30 UTC) and later ATL expected to win by 7, expected total 167.5 (Thu 22:00 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 28 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 140 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 141 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 143 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 146 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 150 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 15 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 166 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 160 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 334 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 353 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 88 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 301 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 311 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 913 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1338 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1152 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1155 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1159 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1169 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1181 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1182 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1316 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1318 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.