WNBA · Jul 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Valkyries at Atlanta Dream

FinalGSV 88 – ATL 83Page updated 05:23 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Jones · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Jones · earlier listed as available · Sat 21:00 UTC · 5, 20 and 22 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Valkyries

Cecilia Zandalasini · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 9 actual

Gabby Williams · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 19 actual

Janelle Salaun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Kayla Thornton · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 2 actual

Veronica Burton · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 21 actual

Atlanta Dream

Allisha Gray · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 22 actual

Angel Reese · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 17 actual

Jordin Canada · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 8 actual

Rhyne Howard · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

ATL expected to win by about 4 · both teams together expected to score about 162 points · odds to win: GSV 2.54, ATL 1.53

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 05:37 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 05:23 UTC

Who is out

Out Jones · earlier listed as available (changed Sat 21:00 UTC) · 5, 20 and 22 min in the last 3 games

Prechtel · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Tue 21:00 UTC) · 4, 5 and 2 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

GSV also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 81 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Jones out (Sat 21:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Prechtel out (Tue 21:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Veronica Burton · points 11.5 → 21 · 9.5 above the line · played 30.5 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.89

Kayla Thornton · points 8.5 → 2 · 6.5 below the line · played 23.5 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91

Jordin Canada · assists 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.6 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.09

Janelle Salaun · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.2 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Angel Reese · points 13.5 → 17 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.96

Allisha Gray · points 17.5 → 22 · 4.5 above the line · played 35.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.94

Gabby Williams · points 15.5 → 19 · 3.5 above the line · played 27.2 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.95

Rhyne Howard · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.7 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.13, Under 1.65

Cecilia Zandalasini · points 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 22.2 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ATL vs GSV · last 6 games · GSV leads · ATL record 2–4 · average score 78.0–77.3 · ATL has won by 0.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

4 Jul · GSV 88 at ATL 83ATL lost

26 Jun · ATL 75 at GSV 78ATL lost

24 Jun · ATL 66 at GSV 77ATL lost

What each defense gives up per game

GSV gives up75.9 points · 32.6 rebounds · 18.2 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 41.7% of shots · 33.0% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

ATL gives up84.1 points · 31.6 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.6% of shots · 34.7% from three-point range · 15.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

GSV gives up 75.9 points a game · 1st of 15 · league average 87.2−11.3 vs average

ATL gives up 84.1 points a game · 4th of 15 · league average 87.2−3.0 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had ATL expected to win by 4, expected total 161 (Sat 01:29 UTC) and later ATL expected to win by 4, expected total 162 (Sat 05:37 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 81 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 151 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 275 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 280 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 281 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 290 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 293 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 296 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 310 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 320 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 322 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 94 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 110 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 435 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 492 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 299 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 306 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 313 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 323 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 342 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 357 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 362 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 416 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1088 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 746 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 758 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 833 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 928 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 928 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1003 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1006 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1028 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1033 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.