WNBA · Jul 6 gameAll props Full sheet

Connecticut Sun at Minnesota Lynx

FinalCON 90 – MIN 89Page updated 09:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Connecticut Sun

Aaliyah Edwards · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 5 actual

Brittney Griner · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 29 actual

Leila Lacan · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 13 actual

Olivia Nelson-Ododa · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 10 actual

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 23 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 28 actual

Natasha Howard · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 18 actual

Nia Brodie · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 2 actual

Olivia Miles · Out · right calf

points 18.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 12 · both teams together expected to score about 165.5 points · odds to win: CON 6.73, MIN 1.13

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 22:42 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 09:10 UTC

Who is out

Cechova · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 16:00 UTC) · 11, 22 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Collier · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 21:45 UTC) · 33, 33 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Miles · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sat 21:30 UTC) · 17, 31 and 30 min in the last 3 games

Jackson · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Fri 21:00 UTC) · 26, 15 and 17 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

CON had 17 days off before this game · MIN had 12 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 22 of the 137 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Cechova out (Sun 16:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Collier out (Sun 21:45 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Miles out (Sat 21:30 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Jackson out (Fri 21:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Brittney Griner · points 11.5 → 29 · 17.5 above the line · played 34.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.79

Nia Brodie · points 8.5 → 2 · 6.5 below the line · played 19.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Kayla McBride · points 17.5 → 28 · 10.5 above the line · played 37.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.93

Aaliyah Edwards · points 8.5 → 5 · 3.5 below the line · played 12.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.70

Courtney Williams · points 17.5 → 23 · 5.5 above the line · played 36.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.74

Natasha Howard · points 15.5 → 18 · 2.5 above the line · played 26.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.88

Leila Lacan · points 11.5 → 13 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.88

Olivia Nelson-Ododa · points 9.5 → 10 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.90

Olivia Miles · points 18.5 → no final stat available · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs CON · last 24 games · CON leads · MIN record 11–13 · average score 81.6–81.5 · MIN has won by 0.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

20 Sep · MIN 101 at CON 89MIN won

8 Jul · MIN 86 at CON 80MIN won

6 Jul · CON 90 at MIN 89MIN lost

What each defense gives up per game

CON gives up87.7 points · 33.9 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.3% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

CON gives up 87.7 points a game · 9th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.2−3.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 15, expected total 167 (Mon 00:52 UTC) and later MIN expected to win by 12, expected total 165.5 (Mon 22:42 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 53 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 58 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 59 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 146 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 156 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 165 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 183 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 388 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 92 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 585 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 686 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 107 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 185 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 896 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 560 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 561 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 584 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 585 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 590 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 619 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 947 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 948 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.