WNBA · Jul 6 gameAll props Full sheet

Seattle Storm at Los Angeles Sparks

FinalSEA 82 – LAS 64Page updated 09:11 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 2 availability alerts

Out Brink · earlier listed as unlikely to play

Out Mair · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Brink · earlier listed as unlikely to play · Sun 22:00 UTC · 24, 28 and 26 min in the last 3 games

Out Mair · earlier listed as available · Thu 01:15 UTC · 5, 2 and 7 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Seattle Storm

Awa Fam · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Dominique Malonga · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 2 actual

Flau'jae Johnson · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 23 actual

Jade Melbourne · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 11 actual

Natisha Hiedeman · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 15 actual

Los Angeles Sparks

Ariel Atkins · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 5 actual

Dearica Hamby · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 17 actual

Erica Wheeler · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 3 actual

Nneka Ogwumike · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 14 actual

Rae Burrell · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LAS expected to win by about 4.5 · both teams together expected to score about 176 points · odds to win: SEA 2.49, LAS 1.57

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:45 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 09:11 UTC

Who is out

Out Brink · earlier listed as unlikely to play (changed Sun 22:00 UTC) · 24, 28 and 26 min in the last 3 games

Out Mair · earlier listed as available (changed Thu 01:15 UTC) · 5, 2 and 7 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

SEA had 18 days off before this game · LAS had 17 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 16 of the 92 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Brink out (Sun 22:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Mair out (Thu 01:15 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Dominique Malonga · points 17.5 → 2 · 15.5 below the line · played 22.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.96

Flau'jae Johnson · points 12.5 → 23 · 10.5 above the line · played 27.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Rae Burrell · points 15.5 → 5 · 10.5 below the line · played 24.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.98

Erica Wheeler · points 8.5 → 3 · 5.5 below the line · played 23.8 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.80

Ariel Atkins · points 10.5 → 5 · 5.5 below the line · played 22 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.83

Jade Melbourne · points 7.5 → 11 · 3.5 above the line · played 22.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.89

Nneka Ogwumike · points 17.5 → 14 · 3.5 below the line · played 28.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.79

Dearica Hamby · points 14.5 → 17 · 2.5 above the line · played 29.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.98

Awa Fam · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Natisha Hiedeman · points 15.5 → 15 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.86, Under 1.88

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAS vs SEA · last 18 games · SEA leads · LAS record 8–10 · average score 81.9–86.7 · LAS has lost by 4.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Aug · LAS 90 at SEA 74LAS won

6 Jul · SEA 82 at LAS 64LAS lost

10 Jun · LAS 88 at SEA 83LAS won

1 Sep · LAS 91 at SEA 85LAS won

What each defense gives up per game

SEA gives up88.9 points · 36.3 rebounds · 21.1 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.0% of shots · 32.7% from three-point range · 12.8 opponent turnovers

LAS gives up91.3 points · 35.5 rebounds · 22.2 assists · 8.9 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 47.2% of shots · 33.6% from three-point range · 13.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

SEA gives up 88.9 points a game · 10th of 15 · league average 87.2+1.8 vs average

LAS gives up 91.3 points a game · 14th of 15 · league average 87.2+4.2 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LAS expected to win by 4, expected total 174.5 (Mon 01:23 UTC) and later LAS expected to win by 4.5, expected total 176 (Tue 00:45 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 28 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 30 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 30 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 33 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 38 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 39 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 46 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 153 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 155 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 159 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 56 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 62 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 326 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 208 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 568 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 576 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 601 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 602 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 608 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 651 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 652 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 660 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 864 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 732 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 857 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.