WNBA · Jul 11 gameAll props Full sheet

Portland Fire at Atlanta Dream

FinalPOR 102 – ATL 92Page updated 08:36 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 2 availability alerts

Out Jones · earlier listed as available

Out Feagin · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

We checked 0 lines; none paid at least 1.70, so there are no picks. Normal, not an error.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Jones · earlier listed as available · Sat 21:00 UTC · 5, 20 and 22 min in the last 3 games

Out Feagin · earlier listed as available · Mon 23:30 UTC · 6, 1 and 3 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Portland Fire

Bridget Carleton · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 12 actual

Carla Leite · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 13 actual

Emily Engstler · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 14 actual

Megan DiLeo · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 17 actual

Atlanta Dream

Allisha Gray · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 20 actual

Jordin Canada · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 10 actual

Naz Hillmon · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 15 actual

Rhyne Howard · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 10 actual

Angel Reese · Out · right leg

points 15.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

ATL expected to win by about 13.5 · both teams together expected to score about 173.5 points · odds to win: POR 7.21, ATL 1.12

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 18:36 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 08:36 UTC

Who is out

Reese · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 04:40 UTC) · 38, 39 and 34 min in the last 3 games

Out Jones · earlier listed as available (changed Sat 21:00 UTC) · 5, 20 and 22 min in the last 3 games

Out Feagin · earlier listed as available (changed Mon 23:30 UTC) · 6, 1 and 3 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

POR had 19 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 11 of the 102 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Reese out (Sun 04:40 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Jones out (Sat 21:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Feagin out (Mon 23:30 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Naz Hillmon · points 7.5 → 15 · 7.5 above the line · played 36.3 min · no final price

Emily Engstler · points 8.5 → 14 · 5.5 above the line · played 25.4 min · no final price

Rhyne Howard · points 18.5 → 10 · 8.5 below the line · played 30.9 min · no final price

Megan DiLeo · points 12.5 → 17 · 4.5 above the line · played 26.7 min · no final price

Jordin Canada · points 11.5 → 10 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.2 min · no final price

Bridget Carleton · points 13.5 → 12 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.3 min · no final price

Carla Leite · points 14.5 → 13 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.7 min · no final price

Allisha Gray · points 18.5 → 20 · 1.5 above the line · played 30.8 min · no final price

Angel Reese · points 15.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ATL vs POR · last 3 games · POR leads · ATL record 1–2 · average score 87.0–89.7 · ATL has lost by 2.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

28 Aug · POR 101 at ATL 83ATL lost

11 Jul · POR 102 at ATL 92ATL lost

What each defense gives up per game

POR gives up91.0 points · 34.0 rebounds · 22.9 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.4% of shots · 35.0% from three-point range · 13.6 opponent turnovers

ATL gives up84.3 points · 31.7 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.2 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.6% of shots · 35.0% from three-point range · 15.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

POR gives up 91.0 points a game · 13th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.9 vs average

ATL gives up 84.3 points a game · 4th of 15 · league average 87.2−2.8 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 32 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 33 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 35 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 38 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 46 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 50 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 52 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 105 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 153 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 164 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 57 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 110 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 202 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 371 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 304 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 321 ms

odds game timelinefailed · 6001 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed · 6001 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed · 6002 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed · 6006 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed · 6007 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.