WNBA · Jul 14 gameAll props Full sheet

Portland Fire at Connecticut Sun

FinalPOR 87 – CON 90Page updated 14:49 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Feagin · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

We checked 0 lines; none paid at least 1.70, so there are no picks. Normal, not an error.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Feagin · earlier listed as available · Mon 23:30 UTC · 6, 1 and 3 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Portland Fire

Bridget Carleton · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 12 actual

Carla Leite · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 18 actual

Emily Engstler · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 14 actual

Frieda Buhner · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 7 actual

Megan DiLeo · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 15 actual

Sarah Ashlee Barker · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 9 actual

Connecticut Sun

Aaliyah Edwards · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 21 actual

Brittney Griner · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 20 actual

Charlisse Leger-Walker · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 4 actual

Kennedy Burke · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 2 actual

Leila Lacan · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 14 actual

Olivia Nelson-Ododa · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 16 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

POR expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 167 points · odds to win: POR 1.98, CON 1.84

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 05:58 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:49 UTC

Who is out

Jackson · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Fri 21:00 UTC) · 26, 15 and 17 min in the last 3 games

Out Feagin · earlier listed as available (changed Mon 23:30 UTC) · 6, 1 and 3 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

POR had 11 days off before this game · CON had 9 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 61 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Jackson out (Fri 21:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Feagin out (Mon 23:30 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 10 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Aaliyah Edwards · points 8.5 → 21 · 12.5 above the line · played 23.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Kennedy Burke · points 8.5 → 2 · 6.5 below the line · played 13.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.06, Under 1.73

Emily Engstler · points 8.5 → 14 · 5.5 above the line · played 29 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.96

Charlisse Leger-Walker · points 8.5 → 4 · 4.5 below the line · played 33.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Olivia Nelson-Ododa · points 10.5 → 16 · 5.5 above the line · played 25.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.92

Brittney Griner · points 13.5 → 20 · 6.5 above the line · played 24.3 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.95

Carla Leite · points 14.5 → 18 · 3.5 above the line · played 32.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Leila Lacan · points 11.5 → 14 · 2.5 above the line · played 29.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91

Megan DiLeo · points 12.5 → 15 · 2.5 above the line · played 31.2 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.79

Sarah Ashlee Barker · points 10.5 → 9 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.5 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.74

Bridget Carleton · points 13.5 → 12 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Frieda Buhner · points 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 11 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.02

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CON vs POR · last 3 games · POR leads · CON record 1–2 · average score 77.7–80.3 · CON has lost by 2.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

14 Jul · POR 87 at CON 90CON won

27 May · CON 61 at POR 71CON lost

18 May · CON 82 at POR 83CON lost

What each defense gives up per game

POR gives up91.0 points · 34.0 rebounds · 22.9 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.4% of shots · 35.0% from three-point range · 13.6 opponent turnovers

CON gives up87.7 points · 33.9 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.3% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

POR gives up 91.0 points a game · 13th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.9 vs average

CON gives up 87.7 points a game · 9th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had POR expected to win by 1, expected total 165.5 (Mon 16:14 UTC) and later POR expected to win by 1, expected total 167 (Tue 05:58 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 44 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 51 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 53 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 58 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 59 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 291 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 305 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 308 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 312 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 89 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 369 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 575 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 595 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 59 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 75 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 80 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 281 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 299 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 302 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 305 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 306 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 314 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 329 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 443 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1251 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 971 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1016 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1024 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1081 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1108 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1184 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1188 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1189 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1191 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1192 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1248 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.