WNBA · Jul 15 gameAll props Full sheet

Los Angeles Sparks at Minnesota Lynx

FinalLAS 87 – MIN 96Page updated 15:54 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

We checked 0 lines; none paid at least 1.70, so there are no picks. Normal, not an error.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available · Wed 00:15 UTC · 4, 18 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Los Angeles Sparks

Ariel Atkins · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 8 actual

Dearica Hamby · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 10 actual

Erica Wheeler · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 10 actual

Nneka Ogwumike · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 23 actual

Rae Burrell · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 24 actual

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 19 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 24 actual

Natasha Howard · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 10 actual

Nia Brodie · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 8 actual

Olivia Miles · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 18 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 11.5 · both teams together expected to score about 181.5 points · odds to win: LAS 5.80, MIN 1.16

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 15:48 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:54 UTC

Who is out

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available (changed Wed 00:15 UTC) · 4, 18 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Juhasz · earlier listed as likely to play, now available (changed Thu 23:30 UTC) · 11, 8 and 10 min in the last 3 games

Cechova · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 16:00 UTC) · 11, 22 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Collier · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 21:45 UTC) · 33, 33 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Pili · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 06:00 UTC) · 16, 6 and 2 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

LAS had 9 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 17 of the 126 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Carrington out (Wed 00:15 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Juhasz out (Thu 23:30 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Cechova out (Sun 16:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Collier out (Sun 21:45 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Pili out (Sun 06:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Rae Burrell · points 14.5 → 24 · 9.5 above the line · played 33.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.95

Natasha Howard · points 16.5 → 10 · 6.5 below the line · played 31.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.82

Nneka Ogwumike · points 17.5 → 23 · 5.5 above the line · played 33 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.76

Dearica Hamby · points 14.5 → 10 · 4.5 below the line · played 32.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.98

Kayla McBride · points 18.5 → 24 · 5.5 above the line · played 30.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.78

Ariel Atkins · points 10.5 → 8 · 2.5 below the line · played 34.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.76

Courtney Williams · points 15.5 → 19 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.90

Olivia Miles · points 19.5 → 18 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.10

Nia Brodie · points 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.76

Erica Wheeler · points 9.5 → 10 · 0.5 above the line · played 30.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.79

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs LAS · last 18 games · MIN leads · MIN record 15–3 · average score 83.4–76.0 · MIN has won by 7.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Aug · LAS 89 at MIN 82MIN lost

15 Jul · LAS 87 at MIN 96MIN won

17 Jun · MIN 99 at LAS 83MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

LAS gives up91.3 points · 35.5 rebounds · 22.2 assists · 8.9 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 47.2% of shots · 33.6% from three-point range · 13.9 opponent turnovers

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LAS gives up 91.3 points a game · 14th of 15 · league average 87.2+4.2 vs average

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.2−3.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 12.5, expected total 182 (Tue 22:49 UTC) and later MIN expected to win by 11.5, expected total 181.5 (Wed 15:48 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 314 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 319 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 323 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 330 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 340 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 341 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 344 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 346 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 537 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 809 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 816 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 817 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 109 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 1057 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1169 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 427 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1940 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3765 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 71 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 75 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 324 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 329 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 339 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 348 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 358 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 579 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 775 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 779 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 780 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 793 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 796 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 800 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 853 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1027 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.