WNBA · Jul 18 gameAll props Full sheet

Portland Fire at Minnesota Lynx

FinalPOR 93 – MIN 101Page updated 14:49 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 2 availability alerts

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available

Out Feagin · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

We checked 0 lines; none paid at least 1.70, so there are no picks. Normal, not an error.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available · Wed 00:15 UTC · 4, 18 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Out Feagin · earlier listed as available · Mon 23:30 UTC · 6, 1 and 3 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Portland Fire

Bridget Carleton · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 22 actual

Carla Leite · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 21 actual

Emily Engstler · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 12 actual

Sarah Ashlee Barker · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 21 actual

Serah Williams · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 8 actual

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 15 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 24 actual

Natasha Howard · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 16 actual

Nia Brodie · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 9 actual

Olivia Miles · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 14 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 13 · both teams together expected to score about 174 points · odds to win: POR 6.86, MIN 1.13

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 22:43 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:49 UTC

Who is out

Out Carrington · earlier listed as available (changed Wed 00:15 UTC) · 4, 18 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Cechova · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 16:00 UTC) · 11, 22 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Samuelson · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Wed 23:45 UTC) · 19, 19 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Out Feagin · earlier listed as available (changed Mon 23:30 UTC) · 6, 1 and 3 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

POR had 11 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 18 of the 143 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Carrington out (Wed 00:15 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Cechova out (Sun 16:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Samuelson out (Wed 23:45 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Feagin out (Mon 23:30 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Sarah Ashlee Barker · points 9.5 → 21 · 11.5 above the line · played 30.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.76

Bridget Carleton · points 12.5 → 22 · 9.5 above the line · played 32.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.89

Carla Leite · points 14.5 → 21 · 6.5 above the line · played 30.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.77

Kayla McBride · points 17.5 → 24 · 6.5 above the line · played 32.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.95

Emily Engstler · points 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 28.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.92

Nia Brodie · points 7.5 → 9 · 1.5 above the line · played 19.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.97, Under —

Olivia Miles · points 16.5 → 14 · 2.5 below the line · played 33.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.98

Serah Williams · points 8.5 → 8 · 0.5 below the line · played 23.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.20, Under —

Courtney Williams · points 15.5 → 15 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.81

Natasha Howard · points 16.5 → 16 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.79

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs POR · last 3 games · MIN leads · MIN record 3–0 · average score 97.7–82.7 · MIN has won by 15 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Aug · MIN 85 at POR 81MIN won

18 Jul · POR 93 at MIN 101MIN won

15 Jun · POR 74 at MIN 107MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

POR gives up91.0 points · 34.0 rebounds · 22.9 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.4% of shots · 35.0% from three-point range · 13.6 opponent turnovers

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

POR gives up 91.0 points a game · 13th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.9 vs average

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.2−3.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 13.5, expected total 174.5 (Sat 01:47 UTC) and later MIN expected to win by 13, expected total 174 (Sat 22:43 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 55 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 58 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 64 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 65 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 65 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 156 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 170 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 173 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 36 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 38 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 41 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 61 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 205 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 420 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 309 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 339 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 822 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1055 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1114 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1161 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1164 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1172 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1173 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1183 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1234 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.