WNBA · Finalupdated 15:35 UTC

Washington Mystics vs Golden State Valkyries

at Golden State Valkyries

GSV expected to win by about 8 · both teams together expected to score about 147 points · odds to win: WAS 3.95, GSV 1.27

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference), Tue 00:47 UTC

WAS 90 – GSV 82

Final

No verified saved picks were returned; missing records do not prove no picks qualified.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Explore every player and prop

How to read this page

A pick is a player line, for example Under 13.5 points, that we published before the game together with the price we found for it. We do not take bets.
Odds are shown in the decimal format: 1.93 means you get back 1.93 for every 1 staked, so a higher number pays more. The American format (−108 means risk 108 to win 100; +111 means risk 100 to win 111) appears only in the Data log at the bottom of the page.
'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; 'better' is a higher price for the same line at another bookmaker. Taking the better price is the one thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money.
'Market puts Under at 48.5%' is the chance implied by all bookmakers' prices together, with their built-in margin removed. Pinnacle is a bookmaker whose prices are widely treated as the most accurate reference, so it is the one we compare against.
A player's rate is how often that player has gone over the line this season, for example over in 41 of 78 games (52.6%), with a likely range such as 32–52%: fewer games means a wider range, and under 10 games we show no rate word at all.
'Past record stronger than the price' means the whole likely range sits above the chance the bookmakers' price implies; 'weaker' means below; 'agrees with the price' means the price sits inside the range, which is the usual case. None of these is a tip.
'Not measurable' is the usual honest answer: too few games to tell a real difference from chance.
'What could go wrong' lists the facts that can change a line: who is out, whether the starting lineup is confirmed, expected playing time (RotoWire's estimate, typically off by about 4 minutes), rest, and how many bookmakers price each line.
After the final, every pick is checked against the official stats and compared with the last price before the game started, the market's most informed price; getting a better price than that is the fairest test of a pick, whether or not it won. A tie means the player landed exactly on the line and the stake is returned; lines ending in .5 cannot tie.
Results are given for every 1 staked: 'would have returned +0.93' means a stake of 1 would have come back with 0.93 in profit. We do not stake anything; the record is what a stake of 1 on each pick would have done. Our record counts a smaller stake when the price advantage was small.
S beside a name marks an expected starter. Times are shown in your device's time zone; our data is recorded in US Eastern Time (ET). Team codes are the league's three-letter abbreviations.
'Your prediction' lets you pick Over or Under on any line before the game starts; we check your predictions the same way and keep your record, and one game of results proves nothing.
Team codes on this page: WAS = Washington Mystics, GSV = Golden State Valkyries.

Saved player research

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

Publication timing not verified

Saved legacy CORE rows, if available, have not been verified as pre-tip publications. They are not backfilled into the published record, and a missing row is not a pass.

No new predictions are being generated here after tip. Saved calls and captured research are not current offers or injury confirmations.

This game’s current price coverage could not be verified. An empty price panel does not mean bookmakers have no lines.

Price comparison only: live snapshot enrichment and model inference were not requested by this game view. Source injuries, lineups and historical statistics are separate reads.

Evaluation coverage and timestamps

Status is slate-wide, observed only since the service started. It does not identify this game’s individual evaluation result.

Slate games processed: 0 / 0
Latest publication attempt: unknown
Status observed since: 29 Oct, 12:14 UTC

No verified attempt timestamp was returned. This is unknown—not a successful empty evaluation.

Why the better price matters

In our past tests, simply taking the highest price offered for a line earned more than any of our own forecasts did.

In that test (25 Aug 2026), taking the best price returned about 2.8 more for every 100 staked than the price we posted did.

The players

12 players checked · 6 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of this season's games in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 2 of 12 players have performed clearly differently and 2 show a slight hint · No starting lineup yet; showing every player with a line

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Washington Mysticsplaying GSV

Georgia Amoore · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 9 actual

Kiki Iriafen · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 23 actual

Lauren Betts · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 4 actual

Michaela Onyenwere · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 12 actual

Shakira Austin · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 15 actual

Sonia Citron · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 17 actual

Golden State Valkyriesplaying WAS

Gabby Williams · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 8 actual

Janelle Salaun · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 11 actual

Kayla Thornton · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 15 actual

Kiah Stokes · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Tiffany Hayes · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 0 actual

Veronica Burton · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 12 actual

Saved gameplay research · not CORE picks

What did the models record?

Read frozen projections, minutes and lineup assumptions for this exact game. These are uncalibrated research—not official recommendations or evidence that the CORE selector ran.

Only original pre-tip captures are read. Nothing is newly forecast after tip; old availability assumptions are not current injury news.

Saved reads only · no new captures, current snapshots, odds requests or paid AI runs.

What could go wrong

updated 15:35 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

WAS had 32 days off before this game · GSV also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 15 of the 103 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

What happened

In 1 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalNo verified saved CORE picks were returned; missing records do not prove no picks qualified.

12 other players with a posted line

Kayla Thornton · points 7.5 → 15 · 7.5 above the line · played 28.8 min · no final price

Tiffany Hayes · points 5.5 → 0 · 5.5 below the line · played 9.6 min · no final price

Kiki Iriafen · points 12.5 → 23 · 10.5 above the line · played 34.6 min · no final price

Gabby Williams · points 14.5 → 8 · 6.5 below the line · played 25.9 min · no final price

Michaela Onyenwere · points 8.5 → 12 · 3.5 above the line · played 30.7 min · no final price

Georgia Amoore · points 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 27.2 min · no final price

Lauren Betts · points 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 14 min · no final price

Sonia Citron · points 13.5 → 17 · 3.5 above the line · played 32 min · no final price

Shakira Austin · points 13.5 → 15 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.4 min · no final price

Kiah Stokes · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.2 min · no final price

Janelle Salaun · points 10.5 → 11 · 0.5 above the line · played 17 min · no final price

Veronica Burton · points 11.5 → 12 · 0.5 above the line · played 26.4 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context

Head to head

GSV vs WAS · last 7 games · GSV leads · GSV record 6–1 · average score 78.4–70.6 · GSV has won by 7.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

20 Jul · WAS 90 at GSV 82GSV lost

18 Jul · WAS 69 at GSV 74GSV won

6 Jul · GSV 62 at WAS 49GSV won

What each defense gives up per game

WAS gives up83.2 points · 30.0 rebounds · 19.8 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.1% of shots · 32.9% from three-point range · 11.9 opponent turnovers

GSV gives up75.3 points · 32.8 rebounds · 17.8 assists · 7.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 41.0% of shots · 32.4% from three-point range · 13.3 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

WAS gives up 83.2 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.0−3.9 vs average

GSV gives up 75.3 points a game · 1st of 15 · league average 87.0−11.7 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSV expected to win by 7.5, expected total 145.5 (Mon 01:39 UTC) and later GSV expected to win by 8, expected total 147 (Tue 00:47 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 56

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 52 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 52 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 52 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 53 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 54 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 54 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 102 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 106 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

grading picks/published (saved-only)ok · 111 ms

grading verdict/board (price-only)ok 200 · 184 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 129 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 248 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 436 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 371 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 373 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 374 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 375 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 376 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 378 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 380 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 383 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 455 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 458 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 461 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 474 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 475 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 478 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 479 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 482 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 483 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 484 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 497 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 514 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 516 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 518 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 521 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 528 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 534 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 535 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 536 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 538 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 544 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 549 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 938 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.