WNBA · Finalupdated 08:39 UTC

Toronto Tempo vs Golden State Valkyries

at Golden State Valkyries

GSV expected to win by about 13.5 · both teams together expected to score about 164 points · odds to win: TOR 7.29, GSV 1.12

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference), Sun 22:45 UTC

TOR 79 – GSV 96

Final

No verified saved picks were returned; missing records do not prove no picks qualified.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Explore every player and prop

How to read this page

A pick is a player line, for example Under 13.5 points, that we published before the game together with the price we found for it. We do not take bets.
Odds are shown in the decimal format: 1.93 means you get back 1.93 for every 1 staked, so a higher number pays more. The American format (−108 means risk 108 to win 100; +111 means risk 100 to win 111) appears only in the Data log at the bottom of the page.
'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; 'better' is a higher price for the same line at another bookmaker. Taking the better price is the one thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money.
'Market puts Under at 48.5%' is the chance implied by all bookmakers' prices together, with their built-in margin removed. Pinnacle is a bookmaker whose prices are widely treated as the most accurate reference, so it is the one we compare against.
A player's rate is how often that player has gone over the line this season, for example over in 41 of 78 games (52.6%), with a likely range such as 32–52%: fewer games means a wider range, and under 10 games we show no rate word at all.
'Past record stronger than the price' means the whole likely range sits above the chance the bookmakers' price implies; 'weaker' means below; 'agrees with the price' means the price sits inside the range, which is the usual case. None of these is a tip.
'Not measurable' is the usual honest answer: too few games to tell a real difference from chance.
'What could go wrong' lists the facts that can change a line: who is out, whether the starting lineup is confirmed, expected playing time (RotoWire's estimate, typically off by about 4 minutes), rest, and how many bookmakers price each line.
After the final, every pick is checked against the official stats and compared with the last price before the game started, the market's most informed price; getting a better price than that is the fairest test of a pick, whether or not it won. A tie means the player landed exactly on the line and the stake is returned; lines ending in .5 cannot tie.
Results are given for every 1 staked: 'would have returned +0.93' means a stake of 1 would have come back with 0.93 in profit. We do not stake anything; the record is what a stake of 1 on each pick would have done. Our record counts a smaller stake when the price advantage was small.
S beside a name marks an expected starter. Times are shown in your device's time zone; our data is recorded in US Eastern Time (ET). Team codes are the league's three-letter abbreviations.
'Your prediction' lets you pick Over or Under on any line before the game starts; we check your predictions the same way and keep your record, and one game of results proves nothing.
Team codes on this page: TOR = Toronto Tempo, GSV = Golden State Valkyries.

Saved player research

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

Publication timing not verified

Saved legacy CORE rows, if available, have not been verified as pre-tip publications. They are not backfilled into the published record, and a missing row is not a pass.

No new predictions are being generated here after tip. Saved calls and captured research are not current offers or injury confirmations.

This game’s current price coverage could not be verified. An empty price panel does not mean bookmakers have no lines.

Price comparison only: live snapshot enrichment and model inference were not requested by this game view. Source injuries, lineups and historical statistics are separate reads.

Evaluation coverage and timestamps

Status is slate-wide, observed only since the service started. It does not identify this game’s individual evaluation result.

Slate games processed: 0 / 0
Latest publication attempt: unknown
Status observed since: 29 Oct, 12:14 UTC

No verified attempt timestamp was returned. This is unknown—not a successful empty evaluation.

Why the better price matters

In our past tests, simply taking the highest price offered for a line earned more than any of our own forecasts did.

In that test (25 Aug 2026), taking the best price returned about 2.8 more for every 100 staked than the price we posted did.

The players

11 players checked · 7 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 1 out · 0 with too few games · 1 not checked

Rate: the share of this season's games in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 0 of 12 players have performed clearly differently and 0 show a slight hint

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Toronto Tempoplaying GSV

Julie Allemand · 31 min expected

points 6.5 → 11 actual

Laura Juskaite · 29 min expected

points 9.5 → 15 actual

Maria Conde · 28 min expected

points 10.5 → 10 actual

Kiki Rice · 24 min expected

points 11.5 → 16 actual

Isabelle Harrison · 22 min expected

points 11.5 → 4 actual

Nyara Sabally · 20 min expected

points 10.5 → 19 actual

Marina Mabrey · 29 min expected · Out · neck

points 19.5 → did not play, so no result

3 players have no line from any bookmaker: Fagbenle (20 expected minutes) · Nurse (18 min) · Key (8 min)

Golden State Valkyriesplaying TOR

Veronica Burton · 29 min expected

assists 6.5 → 6 actual

Kayla Thornton · 25 min expected

points 8.5 → 3 actual

Gabby Williams · 24 min expected

points 14.5 → 15 actual

Kiah Stokes · 24 min expected

rebounds 5.5 → 11 actual

Cecilia Zandalasini · 19 min expected

points 8.5 → 7 actual

Janelle Salaun · 18 min expected

points 11.5 → 24 actual

5 players have no line from any bookmaker: Charles (18 expected minutes) · Hayes (18 min) · +3 more

Saved gameplay research · not CORE picks

What did the models record?

Read frozen projections, minutes and lineup assumptions for this exact game. These are uncalibrated research—not official recommendations or evidence that the CORE selector ran.

Only original pre-tip captures are read. Nothing is newly forecast after tip; old availability assumptions are not current injury news.

Saved reads only · no new captures, current snapshots, odds requests or paid AI runs.

What could go wrong

updated 08:39 UTC

Who is out

Prechtel · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Tue 21:00 UTC) · 4, 5 and 2 min in the last 3 games

Jocyte · did not play last game

Sowah · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Thu 22:00 UTC) · 4, 4 and 2 min in the last 3 games

Fingall · did not play last game

Out Morrow · earlier listed as available (changed Sat 23:45 UTC) · 7, 23 and 29 min in the last 3 games

Out Sykes · earlier listed as available (changed Sat 23:45 UTC) · 2, 22 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Out Mabrey · earlier listed as unlikely to play (changed Wed 22:00 UTC) · 29, 31 and 33 min in the last 3 games

Bankole · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Tue 22:00 UTC) · 19, 20 and 14 min in the last 3 games

May not play Williams · na · GSV

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

6 players are expected to play at least 5 minutes more or fewer than in the last 5 games. For 5 players (Sabally, Fagbenle, Salaun, Hayes, Charles) we have no real minutes estimate, only a default.

Conde: expected to play 28 minutes, averaged 22.5 in the last 5 games, about 5.5 more than usual

Rice: expected to play 24 minutes, averaged 29.6 in the last 5 games, about 5.6 fewer than usual

Allemand: expected to play 31 minutes, averaged 23.5 in the last 5 games, about 7.5 more than usual

Stokes: expected to play 24 minutes, averaged 29.5 in the last 5 games, about 5.5 fewer than usual

Thornton: expected to play 25 minutes, averaged 13.6 in the last 5 games, about 11.4 more than usual

Williams: expected to play 24 minutes, averaged 33.3 in the last 5 games, about 9.3 fewer than usual

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

TOR had 38 days off before this game · GSV also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 14 of the 106 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Prechtel out (Tue 21:00 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: Jocyte out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Sowah out (Thu 22:00 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: Fingall out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Morrow out (Sat 23:45 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: Sykes out (Sat 23:45 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: Mabrey out (Wed 22:00 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: Bankole out (Tue 22:00 UTC) · did not play

2 expected players did not play

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

What happened

In 4 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalNo verified saved CORE picks were returned; missing records do not prove no picks qualified. · checked Thu 07:52 UTC

13 other players with a posted line

Janelle Salaun · points 11.5 → 24 · 12.5 above the line · played 29.5 min (18 expected) · no final price

Kiah Stokes · rebounds 5.5 → 11 · 5.5 above the line · played 32.3 min (24 expected) · no final price

Nyara Sabally · points 10.5 → 19 · 8.5 above the line · played 24.8 min (20 expected) · no final price

Julie Allemand · points 6.5 → 11 · 4.5 above the line · played 33.9 min (31 expected) · no final price

Isabelle Harrison · points 11.5 → 4 · 7.5 below the line · played 17.1 min (22 expected) · no final price

Kayla Thornton · points 8.5 → 3 · 5.5 below the line · played 11.3 min (25 expected) · no final price

Laura Juskaite · points 9.5 → 15 · 5.5 above the line · played 34.7 min (29 expected) · Caesars odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.83

Kiki Rice · points 11.5 → 16 · 4.5 above the line · played 26.8 min (24 expected) · no final price

Cecilia Zandalasini · points 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 15.5 min (19 expected) · no final price

Veronica Burton · assists 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.8 min (29 expected) · no final price

Maria Conde · points 10.5 → 10 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.7 min (28 expected) · no final price

Gabby Williams · points 14.5 → 15 · 0.5 above the line · played 19.3 min (24 expected) · no final price

Marina Mabrey · points 19.5 → did not play, so no result · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context

Head to head

GSV vs TOR · last 3 games · GSV leads · GSV record 3–0 · average score 90.3–78.3 · GSV has won by 12 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

4 Aug · TOR 81 at GSV 92GSV won

2 Aug · TOR 79 at GSV 96GSV won

8 Jul · GSV 83 at TOR 75GSV won

What each defense gives up per game

TOR gives up94.4 points · 34.5 rebounds · 22.6 assists · 9.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 47.8% of shots · 35.4% from three-point range · 12.1 opponent turnovers

GSV gives up75.3 points · 32.8 rebounds · 17.8 assists · 7.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 41.0% of shots · 32.4% from three-point range · 13.3 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

TOR gives up 94.4 points a game · 15th of 15 · league average 87.0+7.3 vs average

GSV gives up 75.3 points a game · 1st of 15 · league average 87.0−11.7 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSV expected to win by 13.5, expected total 165.5 (Sun 02:34 UTC) and later GSV expected to win by 13.5, expected total 164 (Sun 22:45 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 54

sds history (h2h)ok · 11 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 15 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 15 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 90 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 92 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 94 ms

grading picks/published (saved-only)ok · 99 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 110 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 117 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 88 ms

grading verdict/board (price-only)ok 200 · 191 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 274 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 119 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 121 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 123 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 121 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 126 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 126 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 127 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 129 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 129 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 153 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 153 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 191 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 744 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 585 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.