WNBA · TIP · SUN, AUG 9, 3:00 PM
MARKET MEMORY · THIS GAME · T−24H
Which checkpoint lines look unusual for the players in this matchup—and whether the eligible recent actuals support or push against that market expectation.
Usual line is the median closing line across all earlier verified games this season—not a 30-game assumption. Recent form uses up to five actual-backed games that were final at least six hours before this checkpoint, so a just-finished game may be intentionally excluded. These are net descriptive watches, not win probabilities or automatic picks.
WAS · C · vs PHO
At this checkpoint, the line is 3.0 higher than the usual market line. The separate recent-form read is a median 10.5 above the closing line across 5 recent included games.
LATEST INCLUDED · Aug 7 · 21.0 actual vs 17.5 line (+3.5)
PHX · PF
At this checkpoint, the line is 2.0 higher than the usual market line. The separate recent-form read is a median 4.5 above the closing line across 5 recent included games.
LATEST INCLUDED · Aug 7 · 11.0 actual vs 6.5 line (+4.5)
WAS · C · vs PHO
At this checkpoint, the line is 4.0 higher than the usual market line. The separate recent-form read is a median 7.5 above the closing line across 5 recent included games.
LATEST INCLUDED · Aug 7 · 35.0 actual vs 29.5 line (+5.5)
WAS · PF · vs PHO
At this checkpoint, the line is 1.0 lower than the usual market line. The separate recent-form read is a median 0.5 below the closing line across 5 recent included games.
LATEST INCLUDED · Aug 7 · 7.0 actual vs 8.5 line (−1.5)
PHX · SG
At this checkpoint, the line is 1.0 lower than the usual market line. The separate recent-form read is a median 0.5 below the closing line across 5 recent included games.
LATEST INCLUDED · Aug 7 · 3.0 actual vs 4.5 line (−1.5)
PHX · SG
At this checkpoint, the line is 1.0 lower than the usual market line. The separate recent-form read is a median 0.5 below the closing line across 5 recent included games.
LATEST INCLUDED · Aug 7 · 3.0 actual vs 1.5 line (+1.5)
MODEL SIMULATION · EARLY
Market-anchored game state + a conserved 200-minute rotation pool, simulated per player. Out and doubtful players are removed per the official injury report. Range is the 10th–90th percentile across the simulation, not a hard floor or ceiling.
PHO
WAS
The matchup analysis for this game hasn't posted yet — it lands once the model run for this slate completes. Check back closer to tip.
No graded edges posted for this game — sometimes the model finds nothing worth a unit. That's a result too.
WAS vs PHO · last 13 meetings · PHO leads
POINTS PROP LEANS
Leans compare each player's share of her team's recent scoring against the share her posted line implies — a lower line than her recent role reads OVER, a higher one reads UNDER. Recent-form leans, not measured edges: the signal hasn't been validated against closing lines yet.