02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

Publication timing not verified

Saved legacy CORE rows, if available, have not been verified as pre-tip publications. They are not backfilled into the published record, and a missing row is not a pass.

No new predictions are being generated here after tip. Saved calls and captured research are not current offers or injury confirmations.

This game’s current price coverage could not be verified. An empty price panel does not mean bookmakers have no lines.

Price comparison only: live snapshot enrichment and model inference were not requested by this game view. Source injuries, lineups and historical statistics are separate reads.

Evaluation coverage and timestamps

Status is slate-wide, observed only since the service started. It does not identify this game’s individual evaluation result.

Slate games processed
0 / 0
Latest publication attempt
unknown
Status observed since

No verified attempt timestamp was returned. This is unknown—not a successful empty evaluation.

Why the better price matters

In our past tests, simply taking the highest price offered for a line earned more than any of our own forecasts did.

In that test (25 Aug 2026), taking the best price returned about 2.8 more for every 100 staked than the price we posted did.

03

The players

5 players checked · 5 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 1 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of this season's games in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 1 of 6 players has performed clearly differently and 0 show a slight hint

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Seattle Stormplaying GSV

10 players have no line from any bookmaker: Johnson (31 expected minutes) · Hiedeman (31 min) · +8 more

Golden State Valkyriesplaying SEA

STiffany Hayes · 26 min expected
points 15.5 → 10 actual
SKayla Thornton · 25 min expected
points 9.5 → 0 actual
SVeronica Burton · 25 min expected
points 14.5 → 9 actual
SKaila Charles · 23 min expected
points 10.5 → 16 actual
SKiah Stokes · 20 min expected
points 5.5 → 3 actual
Cecilia Zandalasini · Out · na
points 10.5 → did not play, so no result

8 players have no line from any bookmaker: Chen (21 expected minutes) · Amihere (19 min) · +6 more

Saved gameplay research · not CORE picks

What did the models record?

Read frozen projections, minutes and lineup assumptions for this exact game. These are uncalibrated research—not official recommendations or evidence that the CORE selector ran.

Only original pre-tip captures are read. Nothing is newly forecast after tip; old availability assumptions are not current injury news.

Sign in to view saved research →Coverage has not been checked in this session. Missing access is not missing data.

Saved reads only · no new captures, current snapshots, odds requests or paid AI runs.

04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Prechtel · did not play last game

Zandalasini · earlier listed as out, now available (changed ) · 25, 18 and 21 min in the last 3 games

Williams · earlier listed as out, now available (changed ) · 35, 37 and 34 min in the last 3 games

Salaun · earlier listed as out, now available (changed ) · 3, 12 and 4 min in the last 3 games

Sowah · did not play last game

Fingall · did not play last game

Out Cooke · earlier listed as unlisted (changed ) · 12, 26 and 15 min in the last 3 games

Out Magbegor · right knee · SEA

Out Horston · right shoulder · SEA

Out Samuelson · left knee · SEA

SEA has not published an injury report for this game

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed () · RotoWire, a lineup news service, as of game start

Playing time

3 players are expected to play at least 5 minutes more or fewer than in the last 5 games. For 4 players (Hiedeman, Johnson, Fingall, Sowah) we have no real minutes estimate, only a default.

Stokes: expected to play 20 minutes, averaged 29.5 in the last 5 games, about 9.5 fewer than usual

Burton: expected to play 25 minutes, averaged 31.7 in the last 5 games, about 6.7 fewer than usual

Thornton: expected to play 25 minutes, averaged 13.6 in the last 5 games, about 11.4 more than usual

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

SEA had 39 days off before this game · GSV also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 5 of the 50 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Prechtel out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Zandalasini out () · did not play

Flagged before the game: Williams out () · did not play

Flagged before the game: Salaun out () · did not play

Flagged before the game: Sowah out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Fingall out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Cooke out () · did not play

3 expected players did not play

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

In 4 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.
FinalNo verified saved CORE picks were returned; missing records do not prove no picks qualified. · checked
6 other players with a posted line
Kayla Thornton · points 9.5 → 0 · 9.5 below the line · played 30.3 min (25 expected) · no final price
Kaila Charles · points 10.5 → 16 · 5.5 above the line · played 29.1 min (23 expected) · no final price
Kiah Stokes · points 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 30.1 min (20 expected) · no final price
Veronica Burton · points 14.5 → 9 · 5.5 below the line · played 30.3 min (25 expected) · no final price
Tiffany Hayes · points 15.5 → 10 · 5.5 below the line · played 19 min (26 expected) · no final price
Cecilia Zandalasini · points 10.5 → did not play, so no result · no final price

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

GSV vs SEA · last 7 games · GSV leads · GSV record 5–2 · average score 75.4–68.1 · GSV has won by 7.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

19 Sep · SEA 57 at GSV 70GSV won
12 Jun · GSV 76 at SEA 72GSV won
What each defense gives up per game
SEA gives up88.9 points · 36.3 rebounds · 21.1 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.0% of shots · 32.7% from three-point range · 12.8 opponent turnovers
GSV gives up75.3 points · 32.8 rebounds · 17.8 assists · 7.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 41.0% of shots · 32.4% from three-point range · 13.3 opponent turnovers
Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

SEA gives up 88.9 points a game · 10th of 15 · league average 87.0+1.9 vs average
GSV gives up 75.3 points a game · 1st of 15 · league average 87.0−11.7 vs average
How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 36
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 14 ms
sds history (h2h)ok · 27 ms
sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 27 ms
sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 33 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 37 ms
sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 37 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 39 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 40 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 40 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 94 ms
grading picks/published (saved-only)ok · 96 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 140 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 145 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 86 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 283 ms
grading verdict/board (price-only)ok 200 · 1108 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 245 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 278 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 340 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 361 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 382 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 438 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 441 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 440 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 441 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 441 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 442 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 456 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 463 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 466 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 468 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 469 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 499 ms
odds game timelineok 200 · 1688 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 643 ms
Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.